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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Luis Severino vs Kevin GausmanMLB.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Athletics 2 · Toronto Blue Jays 3

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Toronto Blue Jays: Athletics’s scoring margin profile and Athletics’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 52%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLangeliers homered to left (375 feet).4th Inning1–0
  2. ScoreLangeliers homered to center (414 feet).9th Inning2–2
  3. ScoreGiménez singled to right, Okamoto scored, Clement to third.9th Inning2–3
  4. 🏃 TripleGiménez tripled to left, Okamoto scored and Clement scored.5th Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics000100001230
Toronto Blue Jays000020001370

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·0-4400000323.000.000.000
Shea Langeliers C·3-4423220116.750.7502.250
Tyler Soderstrom LF·0-3300001216.000.250.000
Brent Rooker RF·0-4400000313.000.000.000
Jacob Wilson SS·0-4400000216.000.000.000
Lawrence Butler RF·0-3300000110.000.000.000
Max Muncy 3B·0-330000029.000.000.000
Jeff McNeil 2B·0-2200001120.000.333.000
Denzel Clarke CF·0-220000019.000.000.000
Carlos Cortes RF0-110000002.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Severino SP·5.032233084-523.6084
Scott Barlow RP1.210000015-140.0015
Hogan Harris RP1.100010017-100.0017
Justin Sterner RP0.231100015-1113.5015

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·0-4400000014.000.000.000
Nathan Lukes RF·0-3300001017.000.250.000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·1-3301001016.333.500.333
Addison Barger RF·0-4400000115.000.000.000
Myles Straw RF0-000000000.000.000.000
Alejandro Kirk C·0-4400000016.000.000.000
Daulton Varsho CF·0-4400000111.000.000.000
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·2-3322001120.667.750.667
Ernie Clement 2B·2-4412000010.500.5001.000
Andres Gimenez SS·2-3302301012.667.7501.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kevin Gausman SP·6.0111011183-601.5083
Louis Varland RP1.010011016-80.0016
Tyler Rogers RP1.000010013-70.0013
Jeff Hoffman RP1.011104122-189.0022

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningMcNeil lined out to shortstop.
  2. 9th InningKurtz struck out looking.
  3. 5th InningOkamoto walked.
  4. 4th InningKurtz struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningLangeliers homered to left (375 feet).1–0
  2. 9th InningLangeliers homered to center (414 feet).2–2
  3. 9th InningGiménez singled to right, Okamoto scored, Clement to third.2–3
  4. 5th InningGiménez tripled to left, Okamoto scored and Clement scored.1–2

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