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InTheRafters.com

ARI @ LAD

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM PT61°F · overcast⚾ Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tyler GlasnowMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

Arizona Diamondbacks 2 · Los Angeles Dodgers 3

Final
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Los Angeles Dodgers gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin advantage, with Los Angeles Dodgers’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 80%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25
Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSmith homered to center (414 feet), Betts scored.8th Inning2–3
  2. ScoreCarroll hit sacrifice fly to center, Barrosa scored.3rd Inning2–0
  3. 🏃 DoubleFreeman doubled to left, Tucker scored.6th Inning2–1
  4. ScoreSmith singled to left, Carroll scored.1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Arizona Diamondbacks101000000251
Los Angeles Dodgers00000102—360

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ketel Marte 2B·1-3301001017.250.308.500
Corbin Carroll RF·1-3311100014.182.167.182
Geraldo Perdomo SS·1-4401000011.333.333.667
Pavin Smith 1B·1-4401100220.167.375.167
Nolan Arenado 3B·0-4400000015.091.091.091
Alek Thomas CF·0-4400000011.200.273.400
Carlos Santana 1B·0-330000019.111.200.222
James McCann C·0-3300000212.000.000.000
Jorge Barrosa LF·1-3311000218.333.333.667

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eduardo Rodriguez SP·5.041025079-500.0079
Jonathan Loaisiga RP1.010001018-90.0018
Joe Ross RP1.000000014-70.0014
Juan Morillo RP0.212210122-1210.8022
Paul Sewald RP0.10000005-50.005

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·0-2200002022.125.462.125
Kyle Tucker RF·0-4410000216.182.308.273
Mookie Betts SS·0-3310001011.182.308.455
Will Smith C·1-4411210125.273.273.818
Freddie Freeman 1B·3-4403100017.250.308.333
Teoscar Hernandez LF·0-3300000215.100.100.100
Santiago Espinal 3B·0-220000017.000.000.000
Max Muncy 3B0-110000005.200.500.200
Andy Pages CF·0-3300000012.200.200.500
Miguel Rojas SS·2-220200005.500.500.500
Alex Freeland 2B0-110000003.500.5001.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tyler Glasnow SP·6.042216090-573.0090
Alex Vesia RP1.000000012-90.0012
Will Klein RP1.010001015-100.0015
Edwin Diaz RP1.000000010-60.0010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningOhtani grounded out to first.
  2. 8th InningBarrosa struck out swinging.
  3. 7th InningMuncy grounded out to second.
  4. 2nd InningSmith lined out to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningSmith homered to center (414 feet), Betts scored.2–3
  2. 3rd InningCarroll hit sacrifice fly to center, Barrosa scored.2–0
  3. 6th InningFreeman doubled to left, Tucker scored.2–1
  4. 1st InningSmith singled to left, Carroll scored.1–0

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