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InTheRafters.com

ATH @ TOR

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor3:07 PM ET⚾ Jeffrey Springs vs Dylan CeaseMLB.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Athletics 7 · Toronto Blue Jays 8

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Toronto Blue Jays is the model’s call — Athletics on the margin numbers, Athletics on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 52%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreClarke reached on infield single to pitcher, McNeil scored, Muncy to third.7th Inning2–2
  2. ScoreClement singled to left, Lukes scored, Varsho to second.11th Inning7–8
  3. 🏃 DoubleSoderstrom doubled to left, Kurtz scored.6th Inning1–1
  4. ScoreGuerrero Jr. singled to right, Sánchez scored, Barger to second.7th Inning6–3
  5. ScoreVarsho singled to right, Guerrero Jr. scored, Varsho to second.6th Inning1–2
  6. ScoreGiménez singled to center, Varsho scored, Sánchez to second.8th Inning6–5

Scoring by Inning

Team1234567891011RHE
Athletics00000150010780
Toronto Blue Jays001001121118140

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·0-2230003225.000.333.000
Shea Langeliers C·2-4412411118.625.6671.750
Tyler Soderstrom LF·2-5502100223.250.333.375
Brent Rooker RF·1-5501100315.111.111.111
Jacob Wilson SS·0-5500000220.000.000.000
Darell Hernaiz 3B0-000000000.000.000.000
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-5511000117.143.250.143
Max Muncy 3B·1-5511000318.125.125.125
Carlos Cortes RF·0-220000019.000.000.000
Andy Ibanez 2B0-2200001110.000.333.000
Denzel Clarke CF·1-5511100319.143.143.143

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jeffrey Springs SP·5.152232083-513.3883
Mark Leiter Jr. RP0.221100017-1113.5017
Elvis Alvarado RP1.012222026-1118.0026
Hogan Harris RP0.220010019-130.0019
Michael Kelly RP1.121101115-126.7515
Scott Barlow RP1.011011014-110.0014
Luis Medina RP0.111011010-60.0010

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·1-6601100316.100.100.200
Davis Schneider LF·0-3300000111.000.000.000
Addison Barger RF0-1100101012.000.143.000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·1-3311103028.333.600.333
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-5501001228.375.500.375
Nathan Lukes RF0-001000000.000.250.000
Alejandro Kirk C·1-5521111117.111.200.444
Daulton Varsho CF·2-4412102017.250.400.250
Ernie Clement 2B·2-6602100021.400.400.600
Myles Straw RF·1-2211000010.500.500.500
Jesus Sanchez LF1-222110007.500.667.500
Andres Gimenez SS·4-5504100017.750.7781.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Dylan Cease SP·5.1311212090-611.6990
Braydon Fisher RP0.20000004-30.004
Mason Fluharty RP0.02220009-7INF9
Brendon Little RP0.223312123-1140.5023
Tommy Nance RP1.100001011-100.0011
Tyler Rogers RP1.00000207-70.007
Louis Varland RP1.011011014-60.0014
Spencer Miles RP1.000011016-70.0016

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningLangeliers struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningBarger walked, Giménez to second, Sánchez to third.
  3. 7th InningClarke reached on infield single to pitcher, McNeil scored, Muncy to third.2–2
  4. 6th InningGuerrero Jr. walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningClarke reached on infield single to pitcher, McNeil scored, Muncy to third.2–2
  2. 11th InningClement singled to left, Lukes scored, Varsho to second.7–8
  3. 6th InningSoderstrom doubled to left, Kurtz scored.1–1
  4. 7th InningGuerrero Jr. singled to right, Sánchez scored, Barger to second.6–3
  5. 6th InningVarsho singled to right, Guerrero Jr. scored, Varsho to second.1–2
  6. 8th InningGiménez singled to center, Varsho scored, Sánchez to second.6–5
  7. 8th InningSánchez reached on infield single to third, Kirk scored, Varsho to second.6–4
  8. 10th InningBarger hit sacrifice fly to right, Sánchez scored.7–7
  9. 9th InningKirk homered to left (394 feet).6–6
  10. 7th InningLangeliers homered to center (420 feet), Muncy scored, Clarke scored and Kurtz scored.6–2
  11. 3rd InningSpringer doubled to left, Straw scored, Giménez to third.0–1
  12. 10th InningRooker singled to right, Kurtz scored.7–6

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