CLE @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Joey Cantillo vs Bryan WooMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVMariners.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians 6 · Seattle Mariners 5
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Cleveland Guardians: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Cleveland Guardians’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 53%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 1.
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 53%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRivas walked, Arozarena scored on Cantillo wild pitch, Donovan to second.0–2
- 🏃 DoubleRobles doubled to left, Donovan scored.0–1
- ScoreDeLauter homered to left (365 feet), Kwan scored.6–3
- 🏃 DoubleRamírez doubled to right, Rocchio scored, Ramírez to third.1–2
- ScoreRodríguez singled to center, Young scored.3–3
- ScoreRaley homered to center (411 feet), Arozarena scored.6–5
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .286 | .286 | .286 |
| Chase DeLauter RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | .357 | .357 | 1.214 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .143 | .143 | .286 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | .154 | .214 | .154 |
| David Fry RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .400 | .400 | .600 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .167 | .167 | .333 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .167 | .167 | .333 |
| CJ Kayfus LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | .286 | .545 | .429 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo SP· | 3.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 91-55 | 4.91 | 91 |
| Matt Festa RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-11 | 0.00 | 14 |
| Tim Herrin RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19-11 | 0.00 | 19 |
| Erik Sabrowski RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20-11 | 0.00 | 20 |
| Shawn Armstrong RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19-10 | 4.50 | 19 |
| Cade Smith RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28-16 | 4.50 | 28 |
| Connor Brogdon RP | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17-11 | 4.50 | 17 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Dominic Canzone RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .286 | .375 | 1.143 |
| Ryan Bliss 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .091 | .231 | .091 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .091 | .231 | .091 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | .000 | .154 | .000 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .222 | .462 | .333 |
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .364 | .462 | .727 |
| Victor Robles RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .667 | .667 | 1.000 |
| Luke Raley RF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .333 | .400 | 1.333 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | .111 | .273 | .333 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | .182 | .182 | .545 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 83-59 | 3.00 | 83 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24-11 | 5.40 | 24 |
| Gabe Speier RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-2 | 13.50 | 3 |
| Casey Legumina RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23-15 | 0.00 | 23 |
| Cole Wilcox RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-9 | 0.00 | 10 |
| Andres Munoz RP | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20-13 | 9.00 | 20 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningManzardo struck out swinging.
- 4th InningRivas walked, Arozarena scored on Cantillo wild pitch, Donovan to second.0–2
- 3rd InningRodríguez walked.
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningRivas walked, Arozarena scored on Cantillo wild pitch, Donovan to second.0–2
- 2nd InningRobles doubled to left, Donovan scored.0–1
- 10th InningDeLauter homered to left (365 feet), Kwan scored.6–3
- 6th InningRamírez doubled to right, Rocchio scored, Ramírez to third.1–2
- 9th InningRodríguez singled to center, Young scored.3–3
- 10th InningRaley homered to center (411 feet), Arozarena scored.6–5
- 10th InningKwan reached on bunt single to third, Rocchio scored on error, Kwan safe at second on throwing error by third baseman Donovan.4–3
- 7th InningKwan singled to left, Kayfus scored, Kwan to second, Rocchio to third.3–2
- 6th InningManzardo singled to right, Ramírez scored.2–2