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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:37 PM ET⚾ Luis Morales vs Eric LauerMLB.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Athletics 2 · Toronto Blue Jays 5

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Toronto Blue Jays gets the model’s nod thanks to Athletics’s margin advantage, with Athletics’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 54%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreBarger walked, Heineman scored, Guerrero Jr. to second, Sánchez to third.5th Inning2–5
  2. ScoreSánchez homered to center (417 feet), Heineman scored.3rd Inning0–3
  3. ScoreOkamoto homered to right center (420 feet).4th Inning0–4
  4. ScoreMuncy homered to right (362 feet), Wilson scored.5th Inning2–4
  5. ScoreSpringer homered to left (362 feet).1st Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics000020000250
Toronto Blue Jays10211000560

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shea Langeliers C·1-4401000220.500.5381.250
Nick Kurtz 1B·1-3301001216.111.385.111
Brent Rooker RF·0-440000029.077.077.077
Tyler Soderstrom LF·0-4400000215.167.231.250
Jacob Wilson SS·2-4412000116.154.154.231
Max Muncy 3B·1-4411210114.167.167.417
Darell Hernaiz 3B·0-3300000217.000.000.000
Austin Wynns C·0-220000008.000.000.000
J.T. Ginn SP0-000000000.000.000.000
Jeff McNeil 2B0-110000014.125.222.125
Denzel Clarke CF·0-2200000211.111.111.111
Lawrence Butler RF0-110000003.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Morales SP·4.155525371-4110.3871
J.T. Ginn SP3.210012045-310.0045

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·1-4411110114.143.143.429
Jesus Sanchez LF·1-3311211015.400.5711.000
Myles Straw RF0-000000000.500.500.500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·2-440200009.400.571.400
Addison Barger RF·0-3300101221.000.182.000
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-4411110111.333.429.583
Daulton Varsho CF·0-3300000114.182.308.182
Ernie Clement 2B·0-3300000111.308.308.462
Andres Gimenez SS·0-3300000111.545.583.727
Tyler Heineman C·1-2221001010.500.667.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eric Lauer SP·5.132219187-583.3887
Braydon Fisher RP1.200002022-160.0022
Tommy Nance RP0.21000109-70.009
Mason Fluharty RP0.10000105-354.005
Jeff Hoffman RP1.010002010-94.5010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningWilson struck out swinging.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningBarger walked, Heineman scored, Guerrero Jr. to second, Sánchez to third.2–5
  2. 3rd InningSánchez homered to center (417 feet), Heineman scored.0–3
  3. 4th InningOkamoto homered to right center (420 feet).0–4
  4. 5th InningMuncy homered to right (362 feet), Wilson scored.2–4
  5. 1st InningSpringer homered to left (362 feet).0–1

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