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InTheRafters.com

CHW @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Anthony Kay vs Brandon SproatMLB.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Chicago White Sox 7 · Milwaukee Brewers 9

Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Milwaukee Brewers because Milwaukee Brewers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Milwaukee Brewers has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 79%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMontgomery singled to center, Vargas scored.2nd Inning6–2
  2. ScoreRengifo singled to center, Lockridge scored and Perkins scored, Turang to third.8th Inning7–6
  3. ScoreMurakami homered to right center (375 feet).2nd Inning5–2
  4. ScoreYelich homered to right (421 feet), Turang scored and Rengifo scored.8th Inning7–9
  5. ScoreLockridge singled to right, Frelick scored.6th Inning7–3
  6. ScoreSánchez homered to left (387 feet), Contreras scored.1st Inning4–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox421000000790
Milwaukee Brewers20000106—9110

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-4410001218.300.462.700
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-4421111328.333.5381.333
Miguel Vargas 3B·2-5522000122.222.364.222
Colson Montgomery SS·2-3312511013.300.417.600
Austin Hays LF·0-4400000218.200.200.300
Derek Hill RF0-000000000.000.000.000
Andrew Benintendi LF·1-3301001220.286.375.286
Everson Pereira RF·2-441211008.200.273.500
Edgar Quero C·0-4400000124.000.000.000
Tristan Peters CF·1-3301001116.333.429.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Anthony Kay SP·4.232245192-543.8692
Jordan Leasure RP1.121102026-193.8626
Grant Taylor RP1.010013024-144.5024
Chris Murphy RP0.134411017-1027.0017
Seranthony Dominguez RP0.122210119-1013.5019
Jordan Hicks RP0.10000103-327.003

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·1-5511100220.429.467.643
William Contreras C·1-4411001218.182.400.364
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-4411201020.167.286.167
Gary Sanchez C·2-4412210213.500.5001.250
Christian Yelich LF1-111131005.600.636.900
Trevor Megill RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Sal Frelick RF·1-3311002130.200.429.600
Joey Ortiz SS·1-4411001317.455.500.455
Jeferson Quero C·0-110000108.000.500.000
Jake Bauers 1B0-220000016.250.250.500
Brandon Lockridge LF·2-4412100121.375.444.375
Blake Perkins LF·1-3311001023.250.400.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Sproat SP·3.067743386-5021.0086
Grant Anderson RP2.010013031-190.0031
Jared Koenig RP1.000003013-90.0013
Jake Woodford RP2.010001022-143.0022
Trevor Megill RP1.010002015-110.0015

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningQuero grounded out to second.
  2. 1st InningTurang grounded out to pitcher.

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningMontgomery singled to center, Vargas scored.6–2
  2. 8th InningRengifo singled to center, Lockridge scored and Perkins scored, Turang to third.7–6
  3. 2nd InningMurakami homered to right center (375 feet).5–2
  4. 8th InningYelich homered to right (421 feet), Turang scored and Rengifo scored.7–9
  5. 6th InningLockridge singled to right, Frelick scored.7–3
  6. 1st InningSánchez homered to left (387 feet), Contreras scored.4–2
  7. 8th InningTurang singled to left, Ortiz scored, Perkins to second, Lockridge to third.7–4
  8. 3rd InningPereira homered to center (403 feet).7–2
  9. 1st InningMontgomery homered to center (405 feet), Meidroth scored, Murakami scored and Vargas scored.4–0

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