LAA @ CHC
Wrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT64°F · 9 mph wind · rain⚾ Ryan Johnson vs Edward CabreraMLB.TV
Result readChicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels 2 · Chicago Cubs 7
Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgeWrigley FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Chicago Cubs: Chicago Cubs’s scoring margin profile and Chicago Cubs’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 81%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 5.
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 81%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs
Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSwanson singled to center, Hoerner scored.2–7
- ScoreMoncada homered to right (379 feet), Soler scored.2–6
- ScoreKelly singled to right, Happ and Crow-Armstrong scored.0–3
- ScoreHoerner hit sacrifice fly to left, Busch scored.0–1
- ScoreBallesteros singled to right, Crow-Armstrong and Hoerner scored.0–6
- ScoreHapp homered to left center (378 feet).0–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Chicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .211 | .375 | .579 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .353 | .542 | .706 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .350 | .458 | .650 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .200 | .333 | .400 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .118 | .348 | .294 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .263 | .333 | .263 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .111 | .158 | .333 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .214 | .267 | .214 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .286 | .333 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson SP· | 3.1 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 80-48 | 16.20 | 80 |
| Joey Lucchesi RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29-17 | 9.00 | 29 |
| Shaun Anderson RP | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 40-22 | 3.00 | 40 |
Chicago Cubs
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Busch 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | .267 | .421 | .400 |
| Alex Bregman 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .235 | .316 | .588 |
| Ian Happ LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .235 | .316 | .765 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | .313 | .389 | .313 |
| Nico Hoerner 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .231 | .353 | .385 |
| Carson Kelly C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .182 | .308 | .182 |
| Moises Ballesteros C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .143 | .200 | .143 |
| Dansby Swanson SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .273 | .467 | .273 |
| Michael Conforto RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | .000 | .167 | .000 |
| Matt Shaw RF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .250 | .222 | .250 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera SP· | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 80-49 | 0.00 | 80 |
| Colin Rea SP | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 42-27 | 6.00 | 42 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 1st InningCrow-Armstrong walked, Happ to second, Busch to third.
- 1st InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
- 5th InningBusch grounded out to first.
- 1st InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningKelly struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningSwanson singled to center, Hoerner scored.2–7
- 7th InningMoncada homered to right (379 feet), Soler scored.2–6
- 1st InningKelly singled to right, Happ and Crow-Armstrong scored.0–3
- 1st InningHoerner hit sacrifice fly to left, Busch scored.0–1
- 3rd InningBallesteros singled to right, Crow-Armstrong and Hoerner scored.0–6
- 3rd InningHapp homered to left center (378 feet).0–4