TEX @ BAL
Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, Maryland
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:35 PM ET⚾ Jacob deGrom vs Zach EflinESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers
Texas Rangers 8 · Baltimore Orioles 5
Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Texas Rangers gets the model’s nod thanks to Texas Rangers’s margin advantage, with Texas Rangers’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 81%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 3.
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 81%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Baltimore Orioles
- Chris Bassitt SP · #40
- Kyle Bradish SP · #38
- Gunnar Henderson SS · #2
- Pete Alonso 1B · #25
Injury Report
Baltimore Orioles
Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILDean Kremer15-Day-IL
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILCody Freeman10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleWard doubled to center, Cowser scored and O'Neill scored.8–5
- ScoreSeager singled to center, Langford scored.3–1
- ScoreJansen homered to left center (409 feet), Seager scored and Burger scored.7–3
- 🏃 DoubleHenderson doubled to center, Ward scored and Alexander scored.3–3
- 🏃 TripleLangford tripled to right, Nimmo scored.2–1
- ScoreAlonso homered to center (400 feet).1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .409 | .458 | .545 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .167 | .167 | .250 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .333 | .458 | .667 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .409 | .435 | .727 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | .000 | .182 | .000 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .200 | .333 | .200 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .308 | .308 | .615 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .286 | .412 | .429 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .222 | .222 | .667 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom SP· | 4.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 79-56 | 5.79 | 79 |
| Cole Winn RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 0.00 | 14 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-12 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Robert Garcia RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-11 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Chris Martin RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19-13 | 10.80 | 19 |
Baltimore Orioles
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward LF· | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | .300 | .391 | .350 |
| Gunnar Henderson SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .190 | .261 | .381 |
| Pete Alonso 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .316 | .381 | .474 |
| Adley Rutschman C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .286 | .412 | .500 |
| Samuel Basallo C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .143 | .250 | .143 |
| Tyler O'Neill RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .143 | .294 | .357 |
| Colton Cowser RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .300 | .333 | .400 |
| Jeremiah Jackson 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Blaze Alexander 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | .364 | .364 | .364 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin SP· | 3.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 74-44 | 2.45 | 74 |
| Grant Wolfram RP | 1.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23-16 | 7.71 | 23 |
| Yennier Cano RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 5.40 | 9 |
| Yaramil Hiraldo RP | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24-12 | 21.60 | 24 |
| Anthony Nunez RP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21-17 | 2.25 | 21 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningWard doubled to center, Cowser scored and O'Neill scored.8–5
- 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningWard doubled to center, Cowser scored and O'Neill scored.8–5
- 5th InningSeager singled to center, Langford scored.3–1
- 7th InningJansen homered to left center (409 feet), Seager scored and Burger scored.7–3
- 5th InningHenderson doubled to center, Ward scored and Alexander scored.3–3
- 5th InningLangford tripled to right, Nimmo scored.2–1
- 4th InningAlonso homered to center (400 feet).1–1
- 3rd InningDuran homered to left (393 feet).1–0
- 9th InningSeager homered to right center (395 feet).8–3
- 6th InningNimmo singled to center, Carter scored.4–3