CHW @ MIA
loanDepot park · Miami, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:10 PM ET⚾ Shane Smith vs Sandy AlcantaraMLB.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins
Chicago White Sox 0 · Miami Marlins 10
Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Miami Marlins on the back of Miami Marlins’s margin work and Chicago White Sox’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 70%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 10.
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 70%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 10.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago White Sox
- Davis Martin SP · #65
- Grant Taylor RP · #31
- Anthony Kay SP · #18
- Bryan Hudson RP · #60
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
Chicago White Sox
Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreHicks homered to right (347 feet), Edwards scored.0–6
- ScoreLopez homered to left (392 feet).0–10
- ScoreHicks singled to right, Lopez scored.0–9
- 💣 Home RunSanoja singled to left, Hernández scored and Pauley scored, Sanoja thrown out at second.0–8
- 🏃 DoubleNorby doubled to right, Lopez scored, Hicks to third.0–2
- ScoreCaissie singled to left, Hicks scored and Norby scored.0–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Miami Marlins | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | 10 | 13 | 0 |
Chicago White Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Meidroth 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .222 | .333 | .444 |
| Munetaka Murakami 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .238 | .360 | .667 |
| Lenyn Sosa 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Andrew Benintendi LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .200 | .250 | .200 |
| Colson Montgomery SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .182 | .250 | .318 |
| Miguel Vargas 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .263 | .348 | .474 |
| Tristan Peters CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .333 | .412 | .400 |
| Everson Pereira RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | .250 | .294 | .500 |
| Derek Hill RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .333 | .000 |
| Reese McGuire C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Luisangel Acuna CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .200 | .294 | .200 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Smith SP· | 3.0 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 72-46 | 19.29 | 72 |
| Lucas Sims RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31-19 | 0.00 | 31 |
| Chris Murphy RP | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 39-24 | 13.50 | 39 |
| Jordan Leasure RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12-9 | 5.40 | 12 |
Miami Marlins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | .136 | .231 | .273 |
| Xavier Edwards 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .409 | .435 | .455 |
| Leo Jimenez 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Otto Lopez SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .318 | .400 | .591 |
| Liam Hicks C· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .467 | .526 | 1.133 |
| Connor Norby 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .176 | .333 | .294 |
| Owen Caissie RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .350 | .391 | .600 |
| Heriberto Hernandez LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .143 | .333 | .143 |
| Graham Pauley 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .231 | .231 | .385 |
| Javier Sanoja 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .583 | .583 | .750 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara SP· | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 93-69 | 0.00 | 93 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th InningEdwards struck out swinging.
- 1st InningMarsee walked.
- 1st InningBenintendi struck out swinging.
- 6th InningJiménez lined out to shortstop.
- 6th InningMeidroth grounded out to third.
Scoring Plays
- 2nd InningHicks homered to right (347 feet), Edwards scored.0–6
- 8th InningLopez homered to left (392 feet).0–10
- 6th InningHicks singled to right, Lopez scored.0–9
- 3rd InningSanoja singled to left, Hernández scored and Pauley scored, Sanoja thrown out at second.0–8
- 1st InningNorby doubled to right, Lopez scored, Hicks to third.0–2
- 1st InningCaissie singled to left, Hicks scored and Norby scored.0–4
- 1st InningHicks singled to center, Marsee scored, Lopez to third.0–1