LAA @ CHC
Wrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:20 PM CT40°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Yusei Kikuchi vs Matthew BoydMLB.TV
Result readChicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels 2 · Chicago Cubs 6
Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgeWrigley FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Chicago Cubs is the model’s call — Chicago Cubs on the margin numbers, Chicago Cubs on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 81%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 4.
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 81%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs
Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreShaw singled to center, Kelly scored, Busch to third.0–4
- 🏃 DoubleHoerner doubled to center, Amaya scored.0–1
- ScoreBregman singled to center, Hoerner scored.0–2
- ScoreShaw singled to right, Kelly scored, Busch to second.2–6
- ScoreAdell singled to center, Neto scored, Trout to third.1–5
- ScoreCrow-Armstrong reached on infield single to first, Busch scored, Shaw to second.0–5
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Chicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 6 | 10 | 1 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .231 | .394 | .500 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | .261 | .485 | .522 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .259 | .310 | .259 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .148 | .281 | .296 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .143 | .333 | .286 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .286 | .348 | .476 |
| Jeimer Candelario 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | .125 | .125 | .250 |
| Travis d'Arnaud C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .167 | .167 | .333 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi SP· | 5.1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 91-62 | 6.52 | 91 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21-11 | 0.00 | 21 |
| Brent Suter RP | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 44-30 | 0.00 | 44 |
Chicago Cubs
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner 2B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .318 | .385 | .500 |
| Alex Bregman 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | .208 | .321 | .458 |
| Ian Happ LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .208 | .321 | .625 |
| Carson Kelly C· | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .188 | .316 | .188 |
| Michael Busch 1B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .286 | .423 | .381 |
| Dansby Swanson SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .176 | .348 | .176 |
| Matt Shaw RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .267 | .250 | .267 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .261 | .320 | .261 |
| Miguel Amaya C· | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .375 | .444 | .750 |
| Moises Ballesteros C | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .167 | .250 | .167 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd SP· | 5.2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 98-64 | 6.75 | 98 |
| Hunter Harvey RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20-15 | 0.00 | 20 |
| Caleb Thielbar RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-9 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Daniel Palencia RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-8 | 0.00 | 9 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 2nd InningMoncada struck out swinging.
- 6th InningBregman walked.
- 2nd InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 7th InningBusch singled to left, Kelly to third.
- 7th InningPeraza struck out looking.
- 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningShaw singled to center, Kelly scored, Busch to third.0–4
- 3rd InningHoerner doubled to center, Amaya scored.0–1
- 3rd InningBregman singled to center, Hoerner scored.0–2
- 7th InningShaw singled to right, Kelly scored, Busch to second.2–6
- 6th InningAdell singled to center, Neto scored, Trout to third.1–5
- 3rd InningCrow-Armstrong reached on infield single to first, Busch scored, Shaw to second.0–5
- 3rd InningSwanson hit sacrifice fly to left, Happ scored.0–3
- 6th InningSoler safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Bregman, Trout scored, Adell to second.2–5