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In The Rafters

MIN @ KC

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Taj Bradley vs Cole RagansMLB.TVTwins.TVRoyals.TV
Result readMinnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins 5 · Kansas City Royals 1

Final
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Minnesota Twins on the back of Minnesota Twins’s margin work and Kansas City Royals’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 64%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27
Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreClemens homered to left (391 feet).9th Inning4–1
  2. ScoreWallner homered to left center (405 feet).9th Inning3–1
  3. 💣 Home RunKody Clemens steals (2) 3rd base. Clemens scored on throwing error by catcher Perez.2nd Inning1–0
  4. ScoreClemens scored on pickoff error by catcher Perez.2nd Inning1–0
  5. ScorePasquantino hit sacrifice fly to right, Garcia scored.8th Inning2–1
  6. ScoreBuxton hit sacrifice fly to center, Bell scored, Lewis to third.8th Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Minnesota Twins010000013581
Kansas City Royals000000010171

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Austin Martin LF·0-3300000218.273.500.273
Trevor Larnach LF0-000000102.333.500.500
James Outman CF0-000000000.000.200.000
Byron Buxton CF·0-3300100112.174.200.304
Luke Keaschall 2B·2-4402000123.217.269.261
Matt Wallner RF·1-4411110110.174.269.435
Victor Caratini C·1-3301000015.278.381.278
Kody Clemens 1B·2-3322111020.250.357.500
Josh Bell 1B·1-3321111117.222.400.667
Royce Lewis 3B·1-4401000324.211.286.632
Tristan Gray 3B·0-4400000321.333.400.444

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Taj Bradley SP·6.0500130100-650.87100
Kody Funderburk RP1.000001015-104.9115
Cole Sands RP0.221100011-95.4011
Taylor Rogers RP0.10000104-30.004
Justin Topa RP1.000011013-82.4513

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·1-3311001020.316.440.368
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·1-4401000220.273.292.273
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·1-3301100015.200.320.250
Salvador Perez C·1-4401000011.208.240.375
Tyler Tolbert LF0-000000000.000.000.000
Carter Jensen C0-000000000.125.167.313
Jac Caglianone RF·1-4401000112.333.400.444
Jonathan India 2B·0-4400000016.158.200.316
Isaac Collins LF·1-3301001119.200.368.467
Lane Thomas CF·0-4400000114.077.143.077
Kyle Isbel CF·1-4401000116.500.500.833

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cole Ragans SP·6.041018089-593.6089
Matt Strahm RP1.000002019-120.0019
John Schreiber RP1.011121027-136.0027
Steven Cruz RP1.033301327-1716.2027

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningCollins struck out swinging.
  2. 1st InningKeaschall reached on infield single to second.
  3. 8th InningCaglianone struck out swinging.
  4. 8th InningKeaschall grounded out to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningClemens homered to left (391 feet).4–1
  2. 9th InningWallner homered to left center (405 feet).3–1
  3. 2nd InningKody Clemens steals (2) 3rd base. Clemens scored on throwing error by catcher Perez.1–0
  4. 2nd InningClemens scored on pickoff error by catcher Perez.1–0
  5. 8th InningPasquantino hit sacrifice fly to right, Garcia scored.2–1
  6. 8th InningBuxton hit sacrifice fly to center, Bell scored, Lewis to third.2–0
  7. 2nd InningClemens scored on pickoff error by catcher Perez.1–0
  8. 9th InningBell homered to right (393 feet).5–1

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