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In The Rafters

LAD @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:05 PM ET⚾ Emmet Sheehan vs Miles MikolasMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 13 · Washington Nationals 6

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Los Angeles Dodgers because Los Angeles Dodgers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Washington Nationals has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 80%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAbrams reached on infield single to second, Lile scored.3rd Inning5–4
  2. ScoreTucker singled to right, T. Hernández scored, Freeland to second, Pages to third.5th Inning11–4
  3. ScoreAbrams homered to right (387 feet), Wood scored and House scored.1st Inning0–3
  4. 🏃 DoubleRuiz doubled to right, Nuñez scored, Vivas to third.8th Inning12–5
  5. ScorePages homered to left (412 feet), T. Hernández scored.4th Inning7–4
  6. ScoreOhtani hit sacrifice fly to center, Call scored, Pages to third.9th Inning13–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers00524010113160
Washington Nationals3010000206110

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·2-5512410222.217.406.348
Kyle Tucker RF·3-6623210013.241.290.379
Mookie Betts SS·2-6622210016.179.258.429
Freddie Freeman 1B·1-4411210013.214.267.464
Santiago Espinal 3B0-000000000.000.000.000
Will Smith C·1-4401001025.208.240.458
Max Muncy 3B·1-5511000221.263.391.421
Teoscar Hernandez LF·3-4433100115.320.320.360
Alex Call LF0-001000104.0001.000.000
Andy Pages CF·3-4423211118.480.500.760
Alex Freeland 2B·0-3300002223.182.357.545

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Emmet Sheehan SP·5.274432198-618.0098
Jack Dreyer RP0.10000104-30.004
Blake Treinen RP1.010010011-60.0011
Edgardo Henriquez RP1.032211025-179.0025
Ben Casparius RP1.000001013-80.0013

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-4411001218.129.229.323
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·2-5502000114.280.280.360
Daylen Lile LF·1-5511000015.375.412.469
Brady House 3B·1-3311002119.346.433.500
CJ Abrams SS·2-5512410117.269.321.500
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-5511000019.227.292.227
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-3311001023.364.429.364
Keibert Ruiz C·1-4401100014.200.188.467
Jacob Young CF·1-3301101012.235.316.471

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Miles Mikolas SP·4.111111114487-5614.4687
Gus Varland RP0.220011020-110.0020
Ken Waldichuk RP2.011113136-205.0636
Andre Granillo RP2.021120027-1210.8027

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningVivas walked.
  2. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  3. 8th InningNuñez singled to center.
  4. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball 3
  5. 5th InningSmith grounded out to second.
  6. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningAbrams reached on infield single to second, Lile scored.5–4
  2. 5th InningTucker singled to right, T. Hernández scored, Freeland to second, Pages to third.11–4
  3. 1st InningAbrams homered to right (387 feet), Wood scored and House scored.0–3
  4. 8th InningRuiz doubled to right, Nuñez scored, Vivas to third.12–5
  5. 4th InningPages homered to left (412 feet), T. Hernández scored.7–4
  6. 9th InningOhtani hit sacrifice fly to center, Call scored, Pages to third.13–6
  7. 8th InningYoung grounded out to third, Vivas scored.12–6
  8. 5th InningT. Hernández doubled to center, Muncy scored.10–4
  9. 3rd InningBetts homered to left center (380 feet), Tucker scored.5–3
  10. 3rd InningOhtani homered to right center (401 feet), T. Hernández scored and Pages scored.3–3
  11. 7th InningTucker homered to right center (404 feet).12–4
  12. 5th InningFreeman homered to right (391 feet), Betts scored.9–4

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