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InTheRafters.com

BAL @ CHW

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT35°F · 10 mph wind · overcast⚾ Brandon Young vs Grant TaylorMLB.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles 2 · Chicago White Sox 1

Final
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Baltimore Orioles because Chicago White Sox owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Chicago White Sox has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 79%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSosa grounded out to shortstop, Murakami scored.9th Inning2–1
  2. ScoreO'Neill singled to left, Rutschman scored.4th Inning1–0
  3. ScoreHenderson homered to right (389 feet).6th Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles000101000271
Chicago White Sox000000001140

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·1-4401000022.333.413.462
Gunnar Henderson SS·1-4411110312.220.304.488
Pete Alonso 1B·0-4400000017.205.279.308
Adley Rutschman C·0-3310001120.292.414.458
Tyler O'Neill RF·1-4401100015.167.259.292
Ryan Mountcastle 1B·2-3302000110.375.375.375
Colton Cowser RF·0-3300000112.200.292.250
Coby Mayo 3B·1-3301000110.174.296.217
Blaze Alexander 3B0-000000000.286.318.286
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·1-330100005.250.240.250

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Young SP·5.020022066-390.0066
Tyler Wells RP2.010012032-204.0532
Rico Garcia RP1.000001010-70.0010
Ryan Helsley RP1.011121024-135.4024

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·2-3302001016.242.342.394
Munetaka Murakami 1B·0-3310001013.206.333.559
Miguel Vargas 3B·0-3300001118.250.375.500
Colson Montgomery SS·0-4400000113.200.282.371
Austin Hays LF·1-110100006.219.242.344
Derek Hill RF0-0000002012.167.500.167
Lenyn Sosa 2B0-110010006.111.111.167
Andrew Benintendi LF·1-4401000118.200.231.200
Edgar Quero C·0-4400000213.174.269.174
Tristan Peters CF·0-330000019.269.321.308
Luisangel Acuna CF·0-330000008.241.290.241

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Grant Taylor RP·1.010001016-101.8016
Erick Fedde SP6.052214186-544.0986
Lucas Sims RP2.010002021-150.0021

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningVargas struck out swinging.
  2. 6th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 4th InningBenintendi lined out to left.
  4. 9th InningSosa grounded out to shortstop, Murakami scored.2–1

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningSosa grounded out to shortstop, Murakami scored.2–1
  2. 4th InningO'Neill singled to left, Rutschman scored.1–0
  3. 6th InningHenderson homered to right (389 feet).2–0

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