SEA @ TEX
Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:05 PM CT⚾ Logan Gilbert vs Jacob deGromMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readTexas Rangers
Seattle Mariners 1 · Texas Rangers 2
Final
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Texas Rangers: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Texas Rangers’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 54%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 1.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 54%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILCody Freeman10-Day-IL
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRaleigh homered to right (418 feet).1–0
- 🏃 DoubleBurger doubled to left, Seager scored.1–2
- ScoreSeager singled to right, Langford scored.1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .323 | .432 | .581 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | .146 | .255 | .268 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .143 | .250 | .143 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .114 | .188 | .114 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .297 | .447 | .378 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .207 | .281 | .552 |
| Rob Refsnyder RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .000 | .133 | .000 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .238 | .304 | .571 |
| Victor Robles RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .231 | .308 |
| J.P. Crawford SS | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .091 | .286 | .182 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .256 | .310 | .513 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .147 | .256 | .206 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert SP· | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 96-65 | 5.40 | 96 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-8 | 4.50 | 12 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23-14 | 2.57 | 23 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .359 | .444 | .513 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .159 | .159 | .295 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .270 | .364 | .514 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .317 | .349 | .561 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .100 | .208 | .300 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .241 | .353 | .345 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .222 | .222 | .407 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .103 | .235 | .103 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .188 | .212 | .188 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .231 | .538 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom SP· | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 78-49 | 3.72 | 78 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16-10 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Tyler Alexander RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-9 | 1.59 | 17 |
| Cole Winn RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-2 | 0.00 | 3 |
| Robert Garcia RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-8 | 2.25 | 14 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-2 | 0.00 | 4 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningJung singled to center.
- 1st InningRaleigh homered to right (418 feet).1–0
- 8th InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
- 1st InningPitch 12 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 1st InningPitch 11 : Strike 2 Foul
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball 3
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningRaleigh homered to right (418 feet).1–0
- 6th InningBurger doubled to left, Seager scored.1–2
- 1st InningSeager singled to right, Langford scored.1–1