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In The Rafters

STL @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET53°F · partly cloudy⚾ Andre Pallante vs Zack LittellMLB.TVCardinals.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

St. Louis Cardinals 6 · Washington Nationals 9

Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Washington Nationals is the model’s call — St. Louis Cardinals on the margin numbers, St. Louis Cardinals on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 66%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreWood homered to center (409 feet), Millas and Wiemer scored.8th Inning6–6
  2. 🏃 DoubleYoung doubled to left, Tena scored, Millas to third.6th Inning3–3
  3. 🏃 DoubleUrías doubled to center, Winn scored.8th Inning5–3
  4. ScoreScott II hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, Urías scored, Saggese to second.8th Inning6–3
  5. ScoreWalker homered to right (378 feet).8th Inning4–3
  6. ScoreUrías homered to center (414 feet), Gorman scored.6th Inning3–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
St. Louis Cardinals000012030690
Washington Nationals20000106—9120

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·1-3301002120.278.386.361
Ivan Herrera C·0-4400001116.200.356.286
Alec Burleson 1B·0-4400101117.216.333.351
Jordan Walker RF·2-5512110217.314.385.629
Nolan Gorman 3B·0-4410001221.182.243.364
Masyn Winn SS·1-4411001122.188.257.250
Ramon Urias 3B·3-4423310013.313.353.813
Thomas Saggese LF·2-3312001016.200.333.250
Nathan Church LF0-000000000.115.148.115
Victor Scott II CF·0-3300100011.281.281.313

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andre Pallante SP·5.032242088-541.8088
Justin Bruihl RP0.211120023-116.0023
JoJo Romero RP1.020010021-130.0021
Ryne Stanek RP0.233301123-156.3523
Matt Svanson RP0.233301213-1115.0013

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·2-3322312020.163.280.442
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-2210001014.306.324.528
Curtis Mead 1B1-221100007.182.308.364
Brady House 3B·3-5513210018.333.400.583
Daylen Lile LF·1-5501100215.289.319.356
CJ Abrams SS·1-4411111021.286.390.629
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-5501100118.226.294.226
Jose Tena 2B·0-3310001017.294.333.294
Drew Millas C·1-2211002022.176.333.176
Jacob Young CF·1-3301100114.250.308.458
Jorbit Vivas 3B1-110100002.412.500.412
Joey Wiemer RF0-001000000.476.577.857

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Zack Littell SP·5.041136070-443.6070
Ken Waldichuk RP2.123322233-227.0433
Andre Granillo RP0.222220029-1412.4629
Cionel Perez RP1.010000021-1414.7321

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningGorman grounded out to second, Walker to third.
  2. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  4. 8th InningSaggese reached on infield single to third, Urías to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningWood homered to center (409 feet), Millas and Wiemer scored.6–6
  2. 6th InningYoung doubled to left, Tena scored, Millas to third.3–3
  3. 8th InningUrías doubled to center, Winn scored.5–3
  4. 8th InningScott II hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, Urías scored, Saggese to second.6–3
  5. 8th InningWalker homered to right (378 feet).4–3
  6. 6th InningUrías homered to center (414 feet), Gorman scored.3–2
  7. 1st InningLile grounded out to shortstop, Wood scored, García Jr. to third.0–1
  8. 8th InningAbrams homered to right (366 feet).6–9
  9. 8th InningHouse homered to center (423 feet), Mead scored.6–8
  10. 5th InningBurleson grounded into fielder's choice to second, Saggese scored, Herrera out at second, Wetherholt to third.1–2
  11. 1st InningNuñez singled to center, García Jr. scored, Abrams to third.0–2

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