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InTheRafters.com

ATL @ LAA

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT61°F · clear⚾ Reynaldo Lopez vs Yusei KikuchiMLB.TVBravesVision
Result readAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 7 · Los Angeles Angels 2

Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Atlanta Braves gets the model’s nod thanks to Atlanta Braves’s margin advantage, with Atlanta Braves’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 96%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Angels

Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Atlanta Braves
MY M. Yastrzemski LF · #18 MI M. Harris II CF · #23 RA R. Acuna Jr. RF · #13 AR Austin Riley 3B · #27 MD Mauricio Dubon SS · #14 OA Ozzie Albies 2B · #1 MO Matt Olson 1B · #28 BE Bryce Elder P · #55 DB Drake Baldwin C · #30
Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleWhite doubled to left, Olson scored.2nd Inning1–2
  2. ScoreRiley singled to right, Olson scored.4th Inning2–2
  3. ScoreBaldwin singled to center, Yastrzemski scored, Acuña Jr. to second.9th Inning6–2
  4. ScoreAlbies homered to right center (379 feet).8th Inning5–2
  5. ScoreOlson grounded into double play, third to first, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies to second, Baldwin out at third.9th Inning7–2
  6. ScoreHeim singled to left, Dubón scored.4th Inning4–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves0103000127122
Los Angeles Angels200000000260

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. RF·1-5511000223.178.283.200
Drake Baldwin C·2-5502100215.327.389.653
Ozzie Albies 2B·1-4411111220.277.333.468
Matt Olson 1B·1-4421001226.283.365.543
Austin Riley 3B·2-5512100127.190.277.214
Mauricio Dubon SS·2-4412000113.350.381.575
Eli White CF·1-2201200011.154.200.231
Michael Harris II CF1-110100004.227.244.318
Jonah Heim C·1-4401100012.091.286.091
Jorge Mateo SS·0-2200000211.333.400.778
Mike Yastrzemski LF0-1110001011.229.325.343

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Reynaldo Lopez SP·4.232027180-491.1580
Tyler Kinley RP0.210002013-90.0013
Dylan Lee RP0.20000009-81.599
Robert Suarez RP1.000012026-140.0026
Aaron Bummer RP0.100010017-100.0017
Raisel Iglesias RP1.220003022-180.0022

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·1-5501000425.229.339.521
Mike Trout CF·1-5511000221.211.412.395
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-4401001120.244.319.439
Jorge Soler RF·1-111121007.220.340.390
Jeimer Candelario 3B0-110000016.118.211.235
Yoan Moncada 3B·0-3300001221.091.268.182
Jo Adell RF·2-4402000016.283.313.348
Josh Lowe LF·0-2200001116.097.200.226
Logan O'Hoppe C0-110000013.207.314.207
Bryce Teodosio LF0-000000000.143.143.143
Travis d'Arnaud C·0-4400000110.100.100.200
Oswald Peraza 2B·0-220000007.212.257.333
Adam Frazier 2B0-1100001115.273.385.364

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Yusei Kikuchi SP·5.064418097-606.7597
Shaun Anderson RP3.053314162-394.5062
Mitch Farris RP1.010010014-80.0014

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningFrazier walked.
  2. 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  3. 5th InningCandelario struck out swinging.
  4. 3rd InningNeto struck out swinging.
  5. 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  6. 5th InningPitch 4 : Strike 3 Swinging
  7. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningWhite doubled to left, Olson scored.1–2
  2. 4th InningRiley singled to right, Olson scored.2–2
  3. 9th InningBaldwin singled to center, Yastrzemski scored, Acuña Jr. to second.6–2
  4. 8th InningAlbies homered to right center (379 feet).5–2
  5. 9th InningOlson grounded into double play, third to first, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies to second, Baldwin out at third.7–2
  6. 4th InningHeim singled to left, Dubón scored.4–2
  7. 4th InningWhite hit sacrifice fly to center, Riley scored, Dubón to third.3–2
  8. 1st InningSoler homered to left (366 feet), Trout scored.0–2

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