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InTheRafters.com

BAL @ CHW

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT65°F · 13 mph wind · clear⚾ Kyle Bradish vs Sean BurkeMLB.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles 5 · Chicago White Sox 3

Final
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Baltimore Orioles on the back of Chicago White Sox’s margin work and Chicago White Sox’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 79%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreBeavers hit sacrifice fly to right, O'Neill scored, Mountcastle to third.6th Inning4–3
  2. ScoreAlonso scored on a passed ball by McGuire, Mountcastle to second on passed ball by McGuire, O'Neill to third on passed ball by McGuire.6th Inning3–3
  3. ScoreRutschman grounded out to shortstop, Ward scored.3rd Inning2–2
  4. 🏃 DoubleWard doubled to left, Henderson scored.3rd Inning1–2
  5. ScoreAcuña singled to center, Harris scored.2nd Inning0–2
  6. ScoreAlonso scored on a passed ball by McGuire, Mountcastle to second on passed ball by McGuire, O'Neill to third on passed ball by McGuire.6th Inning3–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles002002001572
Chicago White Sox020010000370

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson SS·1-4421001125.245.339.551
Taylor Ward LF·4-5514200021.383.464.574
Adley Rutschman C·0-5500100320.241.353.379
Pete Alonso 1B·1-5511000222.188.264.292
Tyler O'Neill RF·1-2211001016.241.353.345
Ryan Mountcastle 1B·0-3300001015.250.308.250
Dylan Beavers RF·0-1100102024.276.313.414
Leody Taveras CF0-000000000.400.571.500
Coby Mayo 3B·0-4400000116.133.278.167
Jeremiah Jackson 2B0-000000000.214.233.214
Blaze Alexander 3B·0-4400000012.276.323.310

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Bradish SP·5.063237096-545.2796
Tyler Wells RP1.000011022-133.5222
Grant Wolfram RP1.010001010-73.6010
Anthony Nunez RP1.000001010-71.4210
Rico Garcia RP1.000022022-100.0022

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-4410001121.244.340.390
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-4401001222.205.333.513
Miguel Vargas 3B·1-4401001221.225.347.425
Colson Montgomery SS·0-3300001225.195.313.366
Andrew Benintendi LF·1-3311000212.194.219.258
Derek Hill RF0-110000002.182.400.182
Dustin Harris LF·1-331110109.333.600.333
Luisangel Acuna CF·1-4401100116.250.289.250
Reese McGuire C·1-3301000215.077.143.077
Tristan Peters CF·1-3301001017.267.333.300

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Sean Burke SP·5.022223092-583.6092
Lucas Sims RP0.122111016-82.0816
Bryan Hudson RP0.200000010-63.8610
Sean Newcomb RP1.010002014-94.3214
Jordan Hicks RP0.200010013-77.9413
Tyler Schweitzer RP1.121111026-156.7526

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningBeavers hit sacrifice fly to right, O'Neill scored, Mountcastle to third.4–3
  2. 3rd InningMontgomery struck out looking.
  3. 6th InningAcuña struck out swinging.
  4. 6th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningBeavers hit sacrifice fly to right, O'Neill scored, Mountcastle to third.4–3
  2. 6th InningAlonso scored on a passed ball by McGuire, Mountcastle to second on passed ball by McGuire, O'Neill to third on passed ball by McGuire.3–3
  3. 3rd InningRutschman grounded out to shortstop, Ward scored.2–2
  4. 3rd InningWard doubled to left, Henderson scored.1–2
  5. 2nd InningAcuña singled to center, Harris scored.0–2
  6. 6th InningAlonso scored on a passed ball by McGuire, Mountcastle to second on passed ball by McGuire, O'Neill to third on passed ball by McGuire.3–3
  7. 5th InningMontgomery walked, Meidroth scored on error by pitcher Bradish, Montgomery to second, Murakami to second, Murakami safe at third on throwing error by pitcher Bradish.2–3
  8. 9th InningWard doubled to center, Henderson scored.5–3
  9. 2nd InningHarris singled to center, Benintendi scored.0–1

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