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In The Rafters

KC @ CLE

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM ET49°F · 3 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Cole Ragans vs Joey CantilloMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVRoyals.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians

Kansas City Royals 2 · Cleveland Guardians 10

Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Cleveland Guardians: Cleveland Guardians’s scoring margin profile and Kansas City Royals’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 60%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 8.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Kansas City Royals

Cleveland Guardians

Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13
Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRocchio singled to right, Brito scored, Hedges to second.8th Inning2–6
  2. 🏃 DoubleWitt Jr. doubled to left, Garcia scored.4th Inning1–4
  3. 🏃 DoubleRamírez doubled to right, Kwan scored, Martínez to third.2nd Inning0–4
  4. 🏃 DoubleHoskins doubled to left, DeLauter scored.1st Inning0–3
  5. ScoreMartínez homered to right center (374 feet), Hedges scored, Rocchio scored and Kwan scored.8th Inning2–10
  6. 🏃 DoubleBrito doubled to right, Hoskins scored.5th Inning2–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Kansas City Royals000110000251
Cleveland Guardians31001005—10162

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·1-4411000112.304.377.457
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·2-4402100120.273.365.295
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·1-4401000213.200.302.222
Salvador Perez C·0-4400000111.156.224.333
Carter Jensen C·0-4400000116.226.286.548
Lane Thomas CF·0-2210002225.105.292.158
Jonathan India 2B·0-3300001219.206.325.382
Starling Marte RF·1-4401000215.214.214.357
Michael Massey 2B·0-2200000110.000.000.000
Isaac Collins LF0-110000015.188.316.313

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cole Ragans SP·0.223312018-105.9118
Luinder Avila RP3.061112062-399.0062
Alex Lange RP2.131102037-244.7637
Steven Cruz RP1.145523141-2414.4041
Tyler Tolbert LF0.21000005-40.005

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·1-4421001120.245.327.347
Angel Martinez LF·4-5514410117.310.412.483
Jose Ramirez 3B·2-4412101126.163.255.286
David Fry RF·0-2210001115.214.353.286
Kyle Manzardo 1B1-220100017.086.220.086
Chase DeLauter RF·1-5511200117.275.333.675
Rhys Hoskins 1B·3-4413100017.259.394.444
Juan Brito 2B·2-4412100110.500.500.750
Austin Hedges C·1-4411000216.400.400.533
Brayan Rocchio SS·1-3311101018.216.356.324

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joey Cantillo SP·5.232129088-542.4588
Connor Brogdon RP1.100003024-153.3824
Erik Sabrowski RP0.220001013-90.0013
Matt Festa RP1.100011021-136.0021

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningRamírez flied out to center.
  2. 4th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 4th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  4. 8th InningCollins struck out swinging.
  5. 7th InningThomas struck out swinging.
  6. 4th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningRocchio singled to right, Brito scored, Hedges to second.2–6
  2. 4th InningWitt Jr. doubled to left, Garcia scored.1–4
  3. 2nd InningRamírez doubled to right, Kwan scored, Martínez to third.0–4
  4. 1st InningHoskins doubled to left, DeLauter scored.0–3
  5. 8th InningMartínez homered to right center (374 feet), Hedges scored, Rocchio scored and Kwan scored.2–10
  6. 5th InningBrito doubled to right, Hoskins scored.2–5
  7. 1st InningDeLauter doubled to center, Fry scored and Ramírez scored.0–2
  8. 5th InningMarte doubled to center, Thomas scored on fielding error by center fielder Kwan.2–4

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