STL @ WSH
Nationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor4:05 PM ET46°F · 5 mph wind · clear⚾ Michael McGreevy vs Miles MikolasMLB.TVCardinals.TVNationals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 6 · Washington Nationals 1
Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals’s scoring margin profile and St. Louis Cardinals’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 59%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 5.
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 59%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Washington Nationals
- Cade Cavalli SP · #24
- Jake Irvin SP · #27
- PJ Poulin RP · #50
- James Wood RF · #29
Injury Report
Washington Nationals
Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreWalker homered to center (405 feet).3–1
- ScoreBurleson singled to center, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to third.4–1
- ScorePozo singled to left, Burleson scored and Herrera scored, Walker to third.6–1
- ScoreGarcía Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to second, Young scored, Wood out at second.2–1
- ScoreBurleson singled to center, Church scored and Saggese scored, Herrera to second.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | .244 | .364 | .333 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | .195 | .393 | .268 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .273 | .400 | .386 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | .295 | .367 | .682 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | .237 | .333 | .395 |
| Yohel Pozo C | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .111 | .111 | .111 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .154 | .267 | .205 |
| Ramon Urias 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .250 | .318 | .650 |
| Thomas Saggese LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .241 | .333 | .310 |
| Victor Scott II CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .265 | .265 | .294 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .156 | .182 | .250 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 91-59 | 2.16 | 91 |
| Matt Svanson RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18-9 | 11.74 | 18 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 5.68 | 2 |
| Riley O'Brien RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-8 | 0.00 | 15 |
Washington Nationals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .216 | .322 | .510 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .293 | .310 | .488 |
| Brady House 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .295 | .354 | .500 |
| Jorbit Vivas 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .389 | .500 | .389 |
| Daylen Lile LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .269 | .321 | .327 |
| CJ Abrams SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .286 | .388 | .571 |
| Nasim Nunez 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .184 | .262 | .184 |
| Jose Tena 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .238 | .273 | .238 |
| Drew Millas C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .150 | .292 | .150 |
| Jacob Young CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .226 | .273 | .387 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas SP· | 3.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 55-34 | 12.41 | 55 |
| Brad Lord RP | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 52-38 | 4.35 | 52 |
| Cionel Perez RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24-14 | 13.50 | 24 |
| Cole Henry RP | 1.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 43-23 | 3.86 | 43 |
| PJ Poulin RP | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-8 | 5.40 | 15 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningHouse grounded out to pitcher.
- 6th InningChurch flied out to left.
- 9th InningBurleson walked, Herrera to second.
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningWalker homered to center (405 feet).3–1
- 7th InningBurleson singled to center, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to third.4–1
- 9th InningPozo singled to left, Burleson scored and Herrera scored, Walker to third.6–1
- 3rd InningGarcía Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to second, Young scored, Wood out at second.2–1
- 2nd InningBurleson singled to center, Church scored and Saggese scored, Herrera to second.2–0