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In The Rafters

CHW @ KC

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Davis Martin vs Kris BubicMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals

Chicago White Sox 0 · Kansas City Royals 2

Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Kansas City Royals gets the model’s nod thanks to Kansas City Royals’s margin advantage, with Kansas City Royals’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 50%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26
Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJensen homered to right (425 feet).7th Inning0–2
  2. 🏃 DoubleWitt Jr. doubled to left, Garcia scored.4th Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox000000000020
Kansas City Royals00010010—270

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-4400000319.224.309.347
Miguel Vargas 3B·0-3300001016.196.333.370
Munetaka Murakami 1B·0-4400000315.178.321.444
Edgar Quero C·0-330000008.176.243.176
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-330100007.160.160.240
Colson Montgomery SS·0-330000028.188.291.354
Luisangel Acuna CF·0-3300000011.214.244.214
Tanner Murray LF·0-330000029.000.000.000
Derek Hill RF·1-3301000112.214.389.214

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Davis Martin SP·7.072203182-592.5082
Duncan Davitt RP1.000010014-80.0014

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·1-4411000015.315.387.444
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·1-4401100013.283.361.340
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·0-3300000010.173.267.192
Salvador Perez C·1-330100007.157.232.314
Carter Jensen C·1-3311110112.229.282.600
Michael Massey 2B·1-3301000013.200.200.400
Jac Caglianone RF·1-3301000111.244.340.317
Isaac Collins LF·1-330100016.184.311.289
Kyle Isbel CF·0-220000109.353.405.559

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kris Bubic SP·7.0200111088-592.5088
Matt Strahm RP1.00000007-54.767
Lucas Erceg RP1.000000010-73.1810

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningCaglianone struck out looking.
  2. 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Looking
  3. 1st InningVargas walked.
  4. 8th InningGarcia grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Isbel out at second.
  5. 8th InningIsbel walked.
  6. 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningJensen homered to right (425 feet).0–2
  2. 4th InningWitt Jr. doubled to left, Garcia scored.0–1

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