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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Jake Irvin vs Aaron AshbyMLB.TVBrewers.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 7 · Milwaukee Brewers 3

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Washington Nationals on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Milwaukee Brewers’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 82%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleWood doubled to right, Vivas scored, Millas to third.9th Inning7–3
  2. 🏃 DoubleYoung doubled to right, García Jr. scored, Young out stretching at third.7th Inning3–3
  3. ScoreBauers homered to right (428 feet), Turang scored and Mitchell scored.1st Inning2–3
  4. 🏃 DoubleAbrams doubled to center, Mead scored.1st Inning2–0
  5. ScoreMead singled to center, Wood scored, Mead to second.1st Inning1–0
  6. ScoreMillas hit sacrifice bunt, Nuñez scored, Vivas to second.9th Inning6–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals2000001047111
Milwaukee Brewers300000000341

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·4-5514100121.268.359.571
Curtis Mead 1B·1-5511100123.300.364.550
Daylen Lile LF·1-5501000014.263.311.316
Brady House 3B·0-3300001221.277.346.468
CJ Abrams SS·2-3312100014.311.415.600
Joey Wiemer RF·1-3311001115.429.529.714
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·1-4411100111.289.304.467
Nasim Nunez 2B0-001000000.184.262.184
Jorbit Vivas 3B·0-3310100010.333.444.333
Keibert Ruiz C·0-2200000010.174.167.348
Jacob Young CF1-110110005.250.294.438
Drew Millas C0-000010002.150.292.150

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Irvin SP·5.0233551100-557.07100
Paxton Schultz RP1.010001020-140.0020
Cionel Perez RP1.010000014-811.1214
PJ Poulin RP1.000000010-94.7010
Clayton Beeter RP1.000001012-92.7012

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·1-3311001116.275.420.500
William Contreras C·1-4401000114.286.400.452
Christian Yelich LF·0-4400000122.340.380.489
Garrett Mitchell CF·0-2210001115.290.421.484
Brandon Lockridge LF0-110000004.290.353.323
Jake Bauers 1B·2-3312311017.225.295.475
Luis Rengifo 3B·0-3300001218.154.214.256
Sal Frelick RF·0-3300000015.225.354.350
Blake Perkins LF·0-3300001116.148.258.222
David Hamilton 3B·0-4400000019.222.432.222

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Aaron Ashby RP·2.132204044-283.7544
Chad Patrick SP3.030010050-350.7350
Angel Zerpa RP1.211110022-132.4522
Abner Uribe RP1.010002014-91.9314
Trevor Megill RP0.02440009-611.259
Easton McGee SP1.01000007-50.007

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningFrelick grounded out to third.
  2. 6th InningHouse walked.
  3. 6th InningMead grounded out to third, Wood to second.
  4. 4th InningPerkins walked.
  5. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningWood doubled to right, Vivas scored, Millas to third.7–3
  2. 7th InningYoung doubled to right, García Jr. scored, Young out stretching at third.3–3
  3. 1st InningBauers homered to right (428 feet), Turang scored and Mitchell scored.2–3
  4. 1st InningAbrams doubled to center, Mead scored.2–0
  5. 1st InningMead singled to center, Wood scored, Mead to second.1–0
  6. 9th InningMillas hit sacrifice bunt, Nuñez scored, Vivas to second.6–3
  7. 9th InningVivas hit sacrifice bunt, Wiemer scored, Nuñez to second, Nuñez safe at third on throwing error by pitcher Megill.5–3
  8. 9th InningGarcía Jr. singled to center, Abrams scored, Wiemer to third.4–3

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