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In The Rafters

CLE @ ATL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET68°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Parker Messick vs Martin PerezMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVBravesVision
Result readCleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians 6 · Atlanta Braves 0

Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeTruist ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Cleveland Guardians gets the model’s nod thanks to Atlanta Braves’s margin advantage, with Atlanta Braves’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 81%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Cleveland Guardians

Atlanta Braves

Injury Report

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23
Atlanta Braves
MY M. Yastrzemski LF · #18 MI M. Harris II CF · #23 RA R. Acuna Jr. RF · #13 AR Austin Riley 3B · #27 MD Mauricio Dubon SS · #14 OA Ozzie Albies 2B · #1 MO Matt Olson 1B · #28 BE Bryce Elder P · #55 DB Drake Baldwin C · #30

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSchneemann singled to center, Martínez scored and Ramírez scored.9th Inning6–0
  2. 💣 Home RunKwan scored on throwing error by catcher Heim.9th Inning4–0
  3. ScoreHoskins grounded out to third, Martínez scored, DeLauter to second, Ramírez to third.6th Inning2–0
  4. 💣 Home RunKwan scored on throwing error by catcher Heim.9th Inning4–0
  5. ScoreRamírez homered to left (403 feet).1st Inning1–0
  6. 💣 Home RunKwan scored on throwing error by catcher Heim.9th Inning4–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cleveland Guardians100001013670
Atlanta Braves000000000051

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·0-4410001022.246.338.333
Angel Martinez LF·2-5522000016.342.419.500
Jose Ramirez 3B·2-4422111121.175.277.333
David Fry RF·0-220000017.188.350.250
Daniel Schneemann CF1-2211201115.200.226.333
Chase DeLauter RF·1-4401101020.271.345.646
Rhys Hoskins 1B·0-4400100026.229.341.371
Juan Brito 2B·0-2200002018.357.438.500
Austin Hedges C·1-3301001018.389.421.500
Brayan Rocchio SS·0-3300001122.186.340.279

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Parker Messick SP·6.240025084-610.5184
Connor Brogdon RP0.10000001-13.181
Erik Sabrowski RP1.000002014-90.0014
Shawn Armstrong RP1.010012028-172.3528

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. RF·1-4401000217.224.313.362
Drake Baldwin C·1-3301001113.328.397.607
Ozzie Albies 2B·1-4401000115.271.313.424
Matt Olson 1B·1-3301001115.281.379.614
Austin Riley 3B·0-3300001014.212.328.250
Mauricio Dubon SS·0-4400000115.321.345.528
Mike Yastrzemski LF·0-4400000220.174.283.261
Jonah Heim C·1-440100009.158.273.211
Jorge Mateo SS·0-220000018.273.333.636
Dominic Smith 1B0-110000001.345.387.552
Luke Williams SS0-000000000.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Martin Perez SP·5.021132186-533.1486
Joel Payamps RP0.121101011-85.4011
Aaron Bummer RP0.200020022-90.0022
Osvaldo Bido RP2.223321050-273.7250
Tyler Kinley RP0.111110016-91.5016

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningHoskins grounded out to third.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningYastrzemski struck out looking.
  4. 9th InningRamírez walked.
  5. 6th InningSchneemann struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningSchneemann singled to center, Martínez scored and Ramírez scored.6–0
  2. 9th InningKwan scored on throwing error by catcher Heim.4–0
  3. 6th InningHoskins grounded out to third, Martínez scored, DeLauter to second, Ramírez to third.2–0
  4. 9th InningKwan scored on throwing error by catcher Heim.4–0
  5. 1st InningRamírez homered to left (403 feet).1–0
  6. 9th InningKwan scored on throwing error by catcher Heim.4–0
  7. 8th InningDeLauter doubled to right, Schneemann scored.3–0

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