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InTheRafters.com

COL @ SD

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Afternoon GameOutdoor5:40 PM PT61°F · 1 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Ryan Feltner vs German MarquezMLB.TVPadres.TVRockies.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies 5 · San Diego Padres 9

Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on San Diego Padres: San Diego Padres’s scoring margin profile and San Diego Padres’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 75%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Colorado Rockies

San Diego Padres

Injury Report

San Diego Padres

Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15
San Diego Padres
RL Ramon Laureano LF · #5 JM J. Merrill CF · #3 FT F. Tatis Jr. RF · #23 MM Manny Machado 3B · #13 XB X. Bogaerts SS · #2 JC J. Cronenworth 2B · #9 GS Gavin Sheets 1B · #30 YD Yu Darvish P · #11 FF Freddy Fermin C · #54

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleMerrill doubled to center, Cronenworth scored and Laureano scored, Tatis Jr. to third.6th Inning4–9
  2. ScoreTatis Jr. walked, Fermin scored, Laureano to second, Cronenworth to third.6th Inning4–7
  3. ScoreMoniak singled to right, Tovar scored.8th Inning5–9
  4. ScoreMoniak homered to right center (406 feet).3rd Inning4–0
  5. ScoreMoniak homered to right (384 feet), Julien scored.1st Inning2–0
  6. ScoreJulien homered to left center (375 feet).3rd Inning3–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Colorado Rockies202000010591
San Diego Padres00330300—9100

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·2-3322112126.344.417.469
Ezequiel Tovar SS·1-5511000023.267.279.433
Mickey Moniak LF·3-4423420122.300.313.800
Hunter Goodman C·0-4400000316.235.316.373
Troy Johnston RF·0-4400000114.283.327.478
Jordan Beck LF·0-330000018.103.188.138
Willi Castro 2B0-110000013.220.278.340
Brett Sullivan C·1-4401000120.273.304.364
Kyle Karros 3B·0-220000119.195.313.220
TJ Rumfield 1B1-110100005.333.389.521
Jake McCarthy LF·0-110000108.138.242.207
Tyler Freeman RF1-2201000011.375.444.375

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Feltner SP·4.076634282-517.3082
Zach Agnos RP1.113230039-207.5639
Brennan Bernardino RP0.210011020-131.4220
Michael Lorenzen SP1.000000011-78.3611
Jimmy Herget RP1.01000008-71.138

San Diego Padres

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ramon Laureano LF·2-3332312023.269.333.500
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF·3-4403101118.228.313.298
Jackson Merrill CF·1-4411301128.193.270.351
Manny Machado 3B·1-5511210020.196.367.370
Nick Castellanos RF·1-330100109.226.294.323
Bryce Johnson RF0-000000000.125.222.250
Gavin Sheets 1B·0-4400000216.234.250.468
Miguel Andujar 3B·2-4412000015.297.350.432
Freddy Fermin C·0-2220001013.172.273.241
Jake Cronenworth 2B·0-3310001118.154.254.231

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
German Marquez SP·5.044425386-555.5486
Wandy Peralta RP1.110012028-192.8428
Ron Marinaccio RP1.221102026-162.8926
Bradgley Rodriguez RP0.220011021-121.0821
Jason Adam RP0.10000004-30.004

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningSullivan doubled to right.
  2. 6th InningMerrill doubled to center, Cronenworth scored and Laureano scored, Tatis Jr. to third.4–9
  3. 7th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  4. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  5. 1st InningTovar grounded out to third.
  6. 7th InningFreeman grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Karros out at second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningMerrill doubled to center, Cronenworth scored and Laureano scored, Tatis Jr. to third.4–9
  2. 6th InningTatis Jr. walked, Fermin scored, Laureano to second, Cronenworth to third.4–7
  3. 8th InningMoniak singled to right, Tovar scored.5–9
  4. 3rd InningMoniak homered to right center (406 feet).4–0
  5. 1st InningMoniak homered to right (384 feet), Julien scored.2–0
  6. 3rd InningJulien homered to left center (375 feet).3–0
  7. 4th InningLaureano homered to left center (388 feet), Andujar scored and Fermin scored.4–6
  8. 3rd InningMachado homered to left center (403 feet), Merrill scored.4–3
  9. 3rd InningMerrill grounded into fielder's choice to first, Laureano scored, Tatis Jr. out at second.4–1

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