Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:10 PM CT⚾ Foster Griffin vs Kyle HarrisonMLB.TVBrewers.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 3 · Milwaukee Brewers 1

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Washington Nationals gets the model’s nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Milwaukee Brewers’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 82%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleRuiz doubled to right, Nuñez scored.9th Inning3–0
  2. ScoreContreras homered to right center (378 feet).9th Inning3–1
  3. 🏃 DoubleWood doubled to left, Nuñez scored and Young scored.5th Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals000020001390
Milwaukee Brewers000000001122

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-3301201120.271.377.576
Curtis Mead 1B·0-3300002025.261.370.478
Brady House 3B·0-4400000115.255.321.431
Daylen Lile LF·1-4401000010.262.308.311
Joey Wiemer RF·0-4400000313.375.474.625
CJ Abrams SS·1-4401000014.306.404.571
Jacob Young CF·2-4412000024.278.316.444
Nasim Nunez 2B·3-3323001020.244.326.268
Keibert Ruiz C·1-3301101017.192.214.385
Jose Tena 2B0-000000000.238.273.238
Drew Millas C0-000000000.150.292.150

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Foster Griffin SP·5.110031080-501.7680
Brad Lord RP1.200013016-113.7516
Cionel Perez RP1.000001014-99.4514
Clayton Beeter RP1.011122124-123.5224

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·0-3300001119.256.407.465
Luis Rengifo 3B·0-4400000110.140.196.233
William Contreras C·1-4411110016.283.389.500
Christian Yelich LF·0-2200002112.327.389.469
Gary Sanchez C·0-110000109.250.423.700
Jake Bauers 1B0-220000003.214.283.452
Brandon Lockridge LF·0-3300001116.265.342.294
Sal Frelick RF·0-4400000218.205.327.318
Blake Perkins LF·0-220000008.138.242.207
Garrett Mitchell CF0-110000119.281.425.469
Joey Ortiz SS·1-4401000014.243.282.243

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Harrison SP·4.152211076-513.0776
Grant Anderson RP0.20000108-52.088
Brandon Sproat SP3.241133065-3810.4565
DL Hall RP0.10001009-30.009

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningYoung grounded out to shortstop.
  2. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningNuñez walked.
  4. 7th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 9th InningMitchell intentionally walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningRuiz doubled to right, Nuñez scored.3–0
  2. 9th InningContreras homered to right center (378 feet).3–1
  3. 5th InningWood doubled to left, Nuñez scored and Young scored.2–0

Trending