COL @ SD
Petco Park · San Diego, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM PT60°F · 3 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Kyle Freeland vs Nick PivettaMLB.TVPadres.TVRockies.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies 2 · San Diego Padres 7
Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to San Diego Padres on the back of San Diego Padres’s margin work and San Diego Padres’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 74%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 5.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 74%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreMerrill homered to right center (425 feet).2–7
- ScoreMachado singled to right, Merrill scored.2–4
- 🏃 DoubleSullivan doubled to right, Doyle scored and Tovar scored.2–3
- ScoreLaureano homered to left center (380 feet), France scored.2–6
- ScoreFermin hit sacrifice fly to left, France scored.0–2
- ScoreFrance homered to center (427 feet).0–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| San Diego Padres | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard Julien 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .314 | .385 | .429 |
| Jordan Beck LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .100 | .182 | .133 |
| Tyler Freeman RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .300 | .364 | .300 |
| Mickey Moniak LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .265 | .278 | .706 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | .241 | .328 | .370 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .308 | .362 | .481 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .258 | .281 | .419 |
| Brenton Doyle CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .174 | .255 | .261 |
| Brett Sullivan C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .280 | .308 | .400 |
| Kyle Karros 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .182 | .294 | .205 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland SP· | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 2.30 | 0 |
| Jimmy Herget RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24-18 | 2.00 | 24 |
| Chase Dollander SP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-7 | 4.61 | 10 |
| Valente Bellozo RP | 4.1 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 90-51 | 7.59 | 90 |
| Brennan Bernardino RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-4 | 1.29 | 5 |
| Victor Vodnik RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 2.57 | 13 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .268 | .339 | .536 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .242 | .319 | .306 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .217 | .288 | .417 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .213 | .391 | .383 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | .237 | .308 | .373 |
| Nick Castellanos RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .200 | .263 | .286 |
| Ty France 1B· | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .286 | .375 | .571 |
| Bryce Johnson RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .091 | .167 | .182 |
| Freddy Fermin C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .161 | .270 | .226 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta SP· | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 46-28 | 4.50 | 46 |
| Kyle Hart RP | 2.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 34-22 | 4.91 | 34 |
| David Morgan RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 33-22 | 0.00 | 33 |
| Wandy Peralta RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 2.45 | 11 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19-15 | 0.96 | 19 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningFermin walked.
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
- 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
- 7th InningTovar struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningMerrill homered to right center (425 feet).2–7
- 5th InningMachado singled to right, Merrill scored.2–4
- 5th InningSullivan doubled to right, Doyle scored and Tovar scored.2–3
- 6th InningLaureano homered to left center (380 feet), France scored.2–6
- 2nd InningFermin hit sacrifice fly to left, France scored.0–2
- 4th InningFrance homered to center (427 feet).0–3
- 1st InningMachado hit sacrifice fly to center, Laureano scored.0–1