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In The Rafters

LAA @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Yusei Kikuchi vs Will WarrenMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Los Angeles Angels 10 · New York Yankees 11

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on New York Yankees: New York Yankees’s scoring margin profile and New York Yankees’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 84%. Actual: New York Yankees by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMcMahon walked, Caballero scored, Wells to third on Romano wild pitch.9th Inning10–11
  2. ScoreNeto walked, Lowe scored, Frazier to second, O'Hoppe to third.4th Inning4–4
  3. 🏃 DoubleSoler doubled to left, Trout scored.4th Inning1–4
  4. ScoreTrout homered to left center (445 feet), Frazier scored.8th Inning10–8
  5. ScoreLowe hit sacrifice fly to right, Moncada scored, Adell to third.7th Inning8–8
  6. ScoreTrout homered to left center (421 feet), Frazier scored and Neto scored.6th Inning7–7

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels00040312010121
New York Yankees22003100311141

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·1-4411101330.250.370.515
Mike Trout CF·2-5532520025.224.400.483
Nolan Schanuel 1B·0-5500000021.213.300.344
Jorge Soler RF·2-5512100221.226.324.468
Yoan Moncada 3B·2-5512000218.156.345.267
Oswald Peraza 2B0-000000000.214.267.405
Jo Adell RF·2-4412100017.309.347.368
Josh Lowe LF·0-3310101026.122.229.293
Bryce Teodosio LF0-000000000.077.143.077
Logan O'Hoppe C·1-4401100017.234.351.255
Adam Frazier 2B·2-3322001114.333.500.389

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Yusei Kikuchi SP·3.144443282-507.5082
Shaun Anderson RP2.144411249-286.9749
Mitch Farris RP1.120001033-222.0833
Drew Pomeranz RP1.010002012-95.4012
Jordan Romano RP0.033320125-125.4025

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·1-2211001113.250.438.667
Ryan McMahon 3B0-2200001018.108.267.108
Aaron Judge RF·2-5522320118.233.333.550
Cody Bellinger LF·1-5501000016.237.329.339
Giancarlo Stanton DH·2-4412001224.315.383.426
Amed Rosario 3B·1-220100009.308.345.654
Ben Rice 1B1-2211001116.362.508.745
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-5511000220.180.231.262
Randal Grichuk LF·0-111000108.000.071.000
Trent Grisham CF2-3322520015.167.344.354
Jose Caballero SS·2-5522210020.189.232.302
Austin Wells C·1-3301002024.167.300.262

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Will Warren SP·3.234016089-602.4589
Fernando Cruz RP0.100020018-71.5918
Tim Hill RP1.231100021-181.1321
Jake Bird RP1.043301129-207.7129
Camilo Doval RP1.122201126-167.3626
Paul Blackburn RP1.00000006-41.806

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningMcMahon walked, Caballero scored, Wells to third on Romano wild pitch.10–11
  2. 4th InningLowe walked, Adell to second.
  3. 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  4. 4th InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
  5. 9th InningWells to second on fielder's indifference.
  6. 4th InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningMcMahon walked, Caballero scored, Wells to third on Romano wild pitch.10–11
  2. 4th InningNeto walked, Lowe scored, Frazier to second, O'Hoppe to third.4–4
  3. 4th InningSoler doubled to left, Trout scored.1–4
  4. 8th InningTrout homered to left center (445 feet), Frazier scored.10–8
  5. 7th InningLowe hit sacrifice fly to right, Moncada scored, Adell to third.8–8
  6. 6th InningTrout homered to left center (421 feet), Frazier scored and Neto scored.7–7
  7. 9th InningGrisham homered to right center (391 feet), Chisholm Jr. scored.10–10
  8. 5th InningGrisham homered to right center (355 feet), Stanton scored and Rice scored.4–7
  9. 4th InningAdell singled to left, Soler scored.2–4
  10. 1st InningJudge homered to left center (456 feet), Goldschmidt scored.0–2
  11. 6th InningJudge homered to left (398 feet).7–8
  12. 4th InningO'Hoppe singled to left, Adell scored, Lowe to second.3–4
  13. 2nd InningCaballero homered to left (370 feet), Grichuk scored.0–4

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