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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT52°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Nathan Eovaldi vs Luis SeverinoMLB.TVNBCSCA+
Result readTexas Rangers

Texas Rangers 8 · Athletics 1

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Texas Rangers: Texas Rangers’s scoring margin profile and Athletics’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 59%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleJung doubled to center, Smith scored and Higashioka scored.8th Inning8–0
  2. ScoreSmith singled to left, Pederson scored and Seager scored, Higashioka to second.8th Inning6–0
  3. ScoreBurger homered to right (382 feet).3rd Inning4–0
  4. ScoreBurger homered to center (417 feet), Carter scored and Seager scored.1st Inning3–0
  5. ScoreButler homered to right (376 feet).8th Inning8–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers3010000408110
Athletics000000010150

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·0-5500000423.338.403.554
Sam Haggerty LF0-000000000.250.250.250
Evan Carter CF·0-4410001223.213.351.404
Corey Seager SS·1-4421001115.207.314.431
Jake Burger 1B·2-4422421124.246.279.492
Joc Pederson 1B·3-5513000121.216.286.324
Kyle Higashioka C·2-4412001018.333.417.476
Josh Smith 2B·1-4411200111.180.255.180
Josh Jung 3B·1-4401200114.244.306.289
Ezequiel Duran LF·1-3301001114.258.303.387

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nathan Eovaldi SP·7.030027084-535.4084
Luis Curvelo RP2.021101119-125.4019

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Lawrence Butler RF·1-441111008.180.255.320
Nick Kurtz 1B·0-3300001222.192.373.288
Shea Langeliers C·2-4402000213.306.338.581
Austin Wynns C0-000000000.111.111.111
Tyler Soderstrom LF·0-3300001015.210.279.387
Jacob Wilson SS·0-440000008.234.234.281
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-440100007.313.365.375
Max Muncy 3B·1-110100003.317.349.533
Darell Hernaiz 3B0-220000015.188.235.188
Carlos Cortes RF·0-330000009.292.393.500
Denzel Clarke CF·0-220000029.150.209.150
Zack Gelof CF0-110000014.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Severino SP·6.064437294-615.5994
Jack Perkins RP1.254414043-319.0043
Luis Medina RP1.100011026-151.3526

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningSeager struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningNimmo struck out swinging.
  3. 5th InningBurger grounded out to pitcher.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningJung doubled to center, Smith scored and Higashioka scored.8–0
  2. 8th InningSmith singled to left, Pederson scored and Seager scored, Higashioka to second.6–0
  3. 3rd InningBurger homered to right (382 feet).4–0
  4. 1st InningBurger homered to center (417 feet), Carter scored and Seager scored.3–0
  5. 8th InningButler homered to right (376 feet).8–1

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