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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Reid Detmers vs Ryan WeathersMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels 7 · New York Yankees 1

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Los Angeles Angels on the back of New York Yankees’s margin work and New York Yankees’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 84%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRice hit sacrifice fly to left, Grichuk scored.8th Inning7–1
  2. ScoreMoncada homered to right (351 feet).8th Inning7–0
  3. ScoreMoncada singled to right, Grissom scored and Soler scored, O'Hoppe to second.6th Inning6–0
  4. ScoreTrout homered to center (432 feet).1st Inning1–0
  5. ScoreSoler homered to left (399 feet).1st Inning3–0
  6. ScorePeraza homered to left (396 feet).4th Inning4–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels3001020107120
New York Yankees000000010150

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-5500000426.233.349.479
Mike Trout CF·1-5511110228.222.388.508
Jo Adell RF·2-5512110113.315.351.411
Jorge Soler RF·1-3321112121.231.342.508
Vaughn Grissom 2B·2-3312002121.300.462.300
Logan O'Hoppe C·0-4400001020.216.339.235
Yoan Moncada 3B·2-4412310217.184.355.347
Adam Frazier 2B0-110000003.316.480.368
Oswald Peraza 2B·3-3313111021.267.327.511
Bryce Teodosio LF·1-4401000110.118.167.118

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Reid Detmers SP·7.041109099-693.5799
Chase Silseth RP1.000001018-112.8418
Ryan Zeferjahn RP1.010002027-184.8227

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·0-3300000112.200.368.533
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B0-110000016.177.227.258
Aaron Judge RF·1-4401000230.234.329.547
Amed Rosario 3B·1-4401000020.300.333.600
Giancarlo Stanton DH·0-4400000320.293.359.397
Trent Grisham CF·0-4400000317.154.323.327
Randal Grichuk LF·1-331100017.063.118.125
Austin Wells C·1-330100008.178.302.267
Jose Caballero SS·0-3300000113.179.220.286
Ryan McMahon 3B·1-220100007.128.277.128
Ben Rice 1B0-000010004.362.500.745

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Weathers SP·5.0555210494-614.2994
Paul Blackburn RP1.031111025-153.0025
Yerry De los Santos RP2.031121144-294.5044
Brent Headrick RP1.010010017-111.9317

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningTrout struck out looking.
  2. 9th InningJudge doubled to left.
  3. 2nd InningPitch 12 : Strike 3 Looking
  4. 9th InningPitch 12 : Ball In Play
  5. 8th InningPeraza walked.
  6. 2nd InningPitch 11 : Strike 2 Foul
  7. 9th InningPitch 11 : Strike 2 Foul
  8. 8th InningPitch 12 : Ball 4
  9. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningRice hit sacrifice fly to left, Grichuk scored.7–1
  2. 8th InningMoncada homered to right (351 feet).7–0
  3. 6th InningMoncada singled to right, Grissom scored and Soler scored, O'Hoppe to second.6–0
  4. 1st InningTrout homered to center (432 feet).1–0
  5. 1st InningSoler homered to left (399 feet).3–0
  6. 4th InningPeraza homered to left (396 feet).4–0
  7. 1st InningAdell homered to center (445 feet).2–0

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