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InTheRafters.com

WSH @ PIT

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET65°F · 2 mph wind · overcast⚾ PJ Poulin vs Mitch KellerMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 5 · Pittsburgh Pirates 4

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgePNC ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Washington Nationals is the model’s call — Pittsburgh Pirates on the margin numbers, Pittsburgh Pirates on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 74%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Pittsburgh Pirates

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreHouse singled to center, Wood scored, García Jr. to second.1st Inning1–0
  2. ScoreLowe homered to right center (376 feet).1st Inning3–1
  3. 🏃 DoubleOzuna doubled to left, Lowe scored, Reynolds to third.4th Inning5–2
  4. ScoreLile singled to center, García Jr. scored, House to third.1st Inning2–0
  5. ScoreGarcía Jr. singled to right, Nuñez scored, Wood to third.4th Inning5–1
  6. ScoreAbrams homered to right (389 feet).3rd Inning4–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals301100000592
Pittsburgh Pirates100210000480

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-3310002328.265.398.574
Joey Wiemer RF0-000000000.364.462.606
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·1-2211101011.255.281.400
Curtis Mead 1B0-220000005.241.333.414
Brady House 3B·2-4412100125.267.323.433
Daylen Lile LF·1-4401100117.284.321.338
CJ Abrams SS·3-4413210010.356.426.695
Jacob Young CF·0-4400000218.265.294.469
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-3301000115.333.447.367
Drew Millas C·0-330000009.120.241.120
Jose Tena 2B1-1101000010.308.357.308
Keibert Ruiz C0-000000000.194.212.355
Nasim Nunez 2B·0-3310001019.212.293.231

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
PJ Poulin RP·1.021101125-164.5025
Miles Mikolas SP3.133320149-3211.4949
Mitchell Parker RP2.020005046-320.0046
Cionel Perez RP1.000010010-38.2210
Clayton Beeter RP0.20000008-53.248
Gus Varland RP1.010011019-124.5019

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz CF·0-5500000317.328.400.597
Brandon Lowe 2B·1-2221111119.268.397.679
Nick Yorke 3B0-220000009.275.388.350
Bryan Reynolds LF·1-3311001119.292.382.477
Ryan O'Hearn RF·0-3300001021.305.394.508
Marcell Ozuna DH·2-4402100019.106.192.128
Nick Gonzales 3B·0-4400100116.245.302.306
Spencer Horwitz 1B·0-220000006.233.346.326
Jake Mangum LF1-220100005.229.289.257
Konnor Griffin SS·2-4402000011.189.279.243
Joey Bart C·1-3311111115.136.231.273
Billy Cook RF0-000000000.250.250.250

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mitch Keller SP·4.065543190-532.8690
Yohan Ramirez RP2.000002026-191.5426
Mason Montgomery RP1.010002018-126.1418
Isaac Mattson RP2.020001033-241.6933

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningTena singled to left, Abrams thrown out at home.
  2. 9th InningWood struck out swinging.
  3. 8th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
  5. 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningHouse singled to center, Wood scored, García Jr. to second.1–0
  2. 1st InningLowe homered to right center (376 feet).3–1
  3. 4th InningOzuna doubled to left, Lowe scored, Reynolds to third.5–2
  4. 1st InningLile singled to center, García Jr. scored, House to third.2–0
  5. 4th InningGarcía Jr. singled to right, Nuñez scored, Wood to third.5–1
  6. 3rd InningAbrams homered to right (389 feet).4–1
  7. 5th InningBart homered to left center (383 feet).5–4
  8. 4th InningGonzales grounded out to second, Reynolds scored, Ozuna to third.5–3
  9. 1st InningAbrams singled to center, House scored, Lile to second.3–0

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