CLE @ STL
Busch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor12:15 PM CT71°F · 11 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Slade Cecconi vs Dustin MayMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Guardians 3 · St. Louis Cardinals 5
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to St. Louis Cardinals on the back of St. Louis Cardinals’s margin work and St. Louis Cardinals’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 59%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 2.
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 59%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScorePagés singled to left, Church scored, Pagés to second.1–1
- 🏃 DoubleNaylor doubled to center, Schneemann scored and Hoskins scored.3–4
- ScoreWetherholt hit sacrifice fly to right, Winn scored, Scott II to second, Church to third.1–2
- ScoreManzardo singled to center, Ramírez scored.1–0
- ScoreBurleson singled to center, Church scored and Scott II scored, Herrera to third.1–4
- 🏃 DoubleChurch doubled to right, Urías scored.3–5
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .239 | .316 | .324 |
| Chase DeLauter RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .259 | .343 | .586 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .205 | .301 | .384 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .180 | .268 | .260 |
| Angel Martinez LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .302 | .362 | .491 |
| George Valera LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .333 | .333 | .667 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .205 | .327 | .386 |
| Juan Brito 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .222 | .276 | .296 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .295 | .340 | .500 |
| Bo Naylor C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .158 | .238 | .184 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .211 | .338 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi SP· | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 87-52 | 5.03 | 87 |
| Connor Brogdon RP | 1.1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18-10 | 6.43 | 18 |
| Tim Herrin RP | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8-6 | 0.00 | 8 |
| Matt Festa RP | 2.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 36-25 | 7.00 | 36 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | .227 | .354 | .379 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .194 | .386 | .290 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .279 | .375 | .412 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .319 | .373 | .710 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .208 | .290 | .321 |
| Ramon Urias 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .212 | .316 | .485 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .188 | .339 | .250 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .205 | .238 | .308 |
| Pedro Pages C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .206 | .263 | .324 |
| Victor Scott II CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | .255 | .294 | .277 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May SP· | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 91-59 | 6.98 | 91 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24-15 | 8.00 | 24 |
| JoJo Romero RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-10 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Riley O'Brien RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15-10 | 0.00 | 15 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 2nd InningHerrera walked.
- 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
- 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball 3
- 2nd InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 6th InningKwan lined out to right.
Scoring Plays
- 2nd InningPagés singled to left, Church scored, Pagés to second.1–1
- 7th InningNaylor doubled to center, Schneemann scored and Hoskins scored.3–4
- 6th InningWetherholt hit sacrifice fly to right, Winn scored, Scott II to second, Church to third.1–2
- 1st InningManzardo singled to center, Ramírez scored.1–0
- 6th InningBurleson singled to center, Church scored and Scott II scored, Herrera to third.1–4
- 7th InningChurch doubled to right, Urías scored.3–5