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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Jack Kochanowicz vs Luis GilMLB.TVPrime Video
Result readNew York Yankees

Los Angeles Angels 4 · New York Yankees 5

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

New York Yankees is the model’s call — New York Yankees on the margin numbers, New York Yankees on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 84%. Actual: New York Yankees by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleCaballero doubled to center, Wells scored and Chisholm Jr. scored.9th Inning4–5
  2. ScoreJudge homered to right (382 feet).1st Inning0–1
  3. ScoreFrazier homered to right center (398 feet).3rd Inning1–3
  4. ScoreGrisham singled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Caballero scored.2nd Inning0–3
  5. ScoreTrout homered to right center (383 feet), Neto scored.5th Inning4–3
  6. ScoreO'Hoppe homered to left center (427 feet).5th Inning2–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels001030000470
New York Yankees120000002560

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·1-2211001014.240.367.493
Mike Trout CF·2-4412210111.239.393.552
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-4401000012.215.297.338
Jo Adell RF·0-4400000120.299.333.390
Yoan Moncada 3B·0-4400000113.170.333.321
Oswald Peraza 2B·0-3300001011.250.321.479
Josh Lowe LF·1-4401000216.133.231.289
Bryce Teodosio LF0-000000000.118.167.118
Logan O'Hoppe C·1-4411110116.218.333.291
Adam Frazier 2B·1-331111019.318.464.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jack Kochanowicz SP·6.243346197-613.4797
Drew Pomeranz RP1.100000011-74.5011
Jordan Romano RP0.122210021-128.4421

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·1-330120007.164.324.327
Paul Goldschmidt 1B0-110000002.188.350.500
Randal Grichuk LF0-000000000.063.118.125
Ben Rice 1B·0-4400000012.333.470.686
Aaron Judge RF·1-4411110014.235.325.574
Cody Bellinger LF·1-3301001013.242.338.355
Giancarlo Stanton DH·0-4400000319.274.338.371
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-3321001220.185.243.262
Austin Wells C·1-2211002015.191.333.277
Jose Caballero SS·1-3311201014.186.238.305
Ryan McMahon 3B·0-3300000113.119.260.119

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Gil SP·5.054425383-487.0083
Tim Hill RP1.00000008-61.008
Fernando Cruz RP1.010000013-81.3513
Brent Headrick RP1.010000010-71.7410
David Bednar RP1.00000208-74.708

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningLowe struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningWells walked.
  3. 9th InningStanton lined out to left.
  4. 4th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
  5. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4
  6. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  7. 8th InningAdell grounded into double play, third to second to first, Schanuel out at second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningCaballero doubled to center, Wells scored and Chisholm Jr. scored.4–5
  2. 1st InningJudge homered to right (382 feet).0–1
  3. 3rd InningFrazier homered to right center (398 feet).1–3
  4. 2nd InningGrisham singled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Caballero scored.0–3
  5. 5th InningTrout homered to right center (383 feet), Neto scored.4–3
  6. 5th InningO'Hoppe homered to left center (427 feet).2–3

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