NYM @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:00 PM PT57°F · overcast⚾ Clay Holmes vs Shohei Ohtani
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 2 · Los Angeles Dodgers 8
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Los Angeles Dodgers: Los Angeles Dodgers’s scoring margin profile and New York Mets’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 75%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 6.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 75%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSemien singled to center, Bichette scored, Alvarez to second.2–8
- ScoreKim homered to right center (372 feet), Rushing scored.0–2
- ScoreTucker homered to right (374 feet).1–8
- ScoreT. Hernández homered to right center (370 feet).1–3
- ScoreMelendez hit a ground rule double, Benge scored, Semien to third.1–2
- ScoreRushing homered to center (412 feet), T. Hernández scored, Muncy scored and Pages scored.1–7
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | — | 8 | 12 | 0 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .184 | .287 | .289 |
| Luis Robert Jr. CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .241 | .371 | .345 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .203 | .197 | .288 |
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .228 | .271 | .304 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .271 | .386 | .542 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .151 | .237 | .226 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .194 | .257 | .269 |
| MJ Melendez LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| Tommy Pham LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 88-63 | 1.96 | 88 |
| Tobias Myers RP | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30-20 | 3.46 | 30 |
| Devin Williams RP | 0.1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19-10 | 6.75 | 19 |
| Austin Warren RP | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15-10 | 13.50 | 15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .239 | .350 | .343 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | .270 | .325 | .473 |
| Will Smith C· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .286 | .375 | .411 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .310 | .349 | .569 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .220 | .313 | .424 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .409 | .451 | .697 |
| Dalton Rushing C· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .529 | .556 | 1.353 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .278 | .391 | .500 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .196 | .260 | .304 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 95-63 | 0.50 | 95 |
| Blake Treinen RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Tanner Scott RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-6 | 1.04 | 8 |
| Kyle Hurt RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24-14 | 9.00 | 24 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningFreeman walked.
- 3rd InningLindor struck out swinging.
- 5th InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
- 3rd InningPitch 11 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 5th InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 3rd InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 8th InningT. Hernández reached on infield single to shortstop.
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningSemien singled to center, Bichette scored, Alvarez to second.2–8
- 2nd InningKim homered to right center (372 feet), Rushing scored.0–2
- 8th InningTucker homered to right (374 feet).1–8
- 6th InningT. Hernández homered to right center (370 feet).1–3
- 5th InningMelendez hit a ground rule double, Benge scored, Semien to third.1–2
- 8th InningRushing homered to center (412 feet), T. Hernández scored, Muncy scored and Pages scored.1–7