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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT54°F · 4 mph wind · clear⚾ Kumar Rocker vs J.T. GinnMLB.TVNBCSCA+
Result readAthletics

Texas Rangers 5 · Athletics 6

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Athletics because Texas Rangers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Athletics has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 60%. Actual: Athletics by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLangeliers homered to left center (467 feet), Butler scored.6th Inning2–4
  2. ScoreClarke singled to left, Muncy scored.2nd Inning0–2
  3. ScoreWilson homered to left (370 feet), Soderstrom scored.7th Inning2–6
  4. ScoreSeager homered to right center (410 feet), Nimmo scored.3rd Inning2–2
  5. ScoreBurger homered to left (408 feet), Seager scored and Langford scored.8th Inning5–6
  6. 🏃 DoubleSoderstrom doubled to left, Cortes scored.1st Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers002000030550
Athletics11000220670

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·0-3310001117.319.388.528
Corey Seager SS·1-3321211113.203.321.453
Wyatt Langford LF·2-4412000018.183.210.333
Evan Carter CF·0-3300001018.196.339.373
Joc Pederson 1B·0-220000029.200.267.300
Jake Burger 1B1-221131015.254.284.521
Josh Jung 3B·0-3300001022.231.298.288
Josh Smith 2B·0-3300001121.170.254.170
Danny Jansen C·1-4401000011.233.298.349
Ezequiel Duran LF·0-3300000112.222.282.333
Andrew McCutchen LF0-110000016.222.250.407

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kumar Rocker SP·4.242246097-594.3097
Jalen Beeks RP1.011112026-151.1726
Cole Winn RP1.023312232-203.1232
Gavin Collyer RP0.10000103-30.003
Jacob Latz RP1.000000011-81.5911

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·0-4400001320.186.368.271
Shea Langeliers C·2-5512210020.304.351.609
Carlos Cortes RF·0-3310001122.259.375.444
Tyler Soderstrom LF·1-2211102117.212.316.394
Jacob Wilson SS·2-4412210016.254.264.338
Jeff McNeil 2B·0-2200002018.278.350.333
Max Muncy 3B·0-3310000318.288.338.485
Lawrence Butler RF·1-4411000222.182.250.309
Denzel Clarke CF·1-3301100116.174.224.196

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
J.T. Ginn SP·5.122243178-473.3178
Hogan Harris RP0.200001011-72.3811
Scott Barlow RP1.010001017-104.5017
Mark Leiter Jr. RP0.223311122-149.0022
Joel Kuhnel RP1.100002024-160.0024

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningCortes struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningJung lined out to center.
  3. 6th InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningLangeliers homered to left center (467 feet), Butler scored.2–4
  2. 2nd InningClarke singled to left, Muncy scored.0–2
  3. 7th InningWilson homered to left (370 feet), Soderstrom scored.2–6
  4. 3rd InningSeager homered to right center (410 feet), Nimmo scored.2–2
  5. 8th InningBurger homered to left (408 feet), Seager scored and Langford scored.5–6
  6. 1st InningSoderstrom doubled to left, Cortes scored.0–1

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