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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET⚾ Brent Suter vs Max FriedMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels 11 · New York Yankees 4

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Los Angeles Angels gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with New York Yankees’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 84%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLowe singled to center, Grissom scored and Peraza scored, d'Arnaud to second.6th Inning6–3
  2. ScoreTrout homered to left (446 feet).7th Inning7–4
  3. ScoreJudge homered to left center (410 feet).1st Inning2–1
  4. ScoreRice homered to center (405 feet).6th Inning6–4
  5. ScoreGrissom singled to left, Adell scored, Peraza to third.6th Inning4–3
  6. 🏃 DoublePeraza doubled to right, Trout scored, Adell to third.6th Inning3–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels2000041401190
New York Yankees102001000480

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·1-5511000220.238.358.475
Mike Trout CF·1-2231113027.246.416.594
Jo Adell RF·2-4432411118.309.349.432
Oswald Peraza 2B·2-4422311120.269.345.558
Vaughn Grissom 2B·1-4411101019.286.444.286
Nolan Schanuel 1B·0-5500000120.200.278.314
Travis d'Arnaud C·1-4401001018.143.200.214
Josh Lowe LF·1-5501200026.140.228.280
Bryce Teodosio LF·0-220000017.105.150.105
Adam Frazier 2B0-111000017.304.467.478

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brent Suter RP·2.031122149-292.4049
Nick Sandlin RP1.112211124-1221.6024
Sam Aldegheri SP1.221112133-185.4033
Sam Bachman RP3.010002027-183.4827
Chase Silseth RP1.010001017-132.4517

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-3300001018.155.319.310
Aaron Judge RF·1-4411110120.236.321.597
Cody Bellinger LF·1-3311001112.246.346.354
Giancarlo Stanton DH·1-441121009.273.333.409
Ben Rice 1B·1-4411110114.327.457.709
Amed Rosario 3B·0-4400000117.265.297.529
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·0-2200002018.179.257.254
Jose Caballero SS·3-4403000117.222.269.333
J.C. Escarra C·1-4401000325.067.125.067

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Fried SP·5.135533193-522.9793
Fernando Cruz RP0.221112025-172.4525
Angel Chivilli RP0.211122126-1413.5026
Ryan Yarbrough RP2.134410138-255.6338

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningEscarra struck out looking.
  2. 6th InningLowe singled to center, Grissom scored and Peraza scored, d'Arnaud to second.6–3
  3. 2nd InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Looking
  4. 2nd InningChisholm Jr. walked.
  5. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningLowe singled to center, Grissom scored and Peraza scored, d'Arnaud to second.6–3
  2. 7th InningTrout homered to left (446 feet).7–4
  3. 1st InningJudge homered to left center (410 feet).2–1
  4. 6th InningRice homered to center (405 feet).6–4
  5. 6th InningGrissom singled to left, Adell scored, Peraza to third.4–3
  6. 6th InningPeraza doubled to right, Trout scored, Adell to third.3–3
  7. 8th InningAdell homered to right (356 feet), Frazier scored, Neto scored and Trout scored.11–4
  8. 3rd InningStanton homered to center (446 feet), Bellinger scored.2–3
  9. 1st InningPeraza homered to left (375 feet), Adell scored.2–0

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