Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT65°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Steven Matz vs Jordan LeasureMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays 5 · Chicago White Sox 3

Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay Rays’s scoring margin profile and Tampa Bay Rays’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 76%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreQuero hit a ground rule double, Meidroth scored, Pereira to third.6th Inning1–2
  2. ScoreWalls walked, Aranda scored, Feduccia to second, Palacios to third.9th Inning5–3
  3. ScoreFeduccia walked, Díaz scored, Palacios to second, Aranda to third.9th Inning4–3
  4. ScoreCaminero homered to left center (375 feet).9th Inning3–3
  5. ScoreWalls singled to left, DeLuca scored, Fortes to second.4th Inning1–1
  6. ScoreVargas homered to left (380 feet).3rd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays000100103590
Chicago White Sox001001010381

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson LF·0-6600000125.348.375.406
Junior Caminero 3B·2-5512110118.246.354.449
Cedric Mullins CF·0-3310001120.138.203.241
Yandy Diaz 1B·2-5512000025.371.463.557
Ryan Vilade RF·0-1100001014.238.304.286
Jonathan Aranda 1B0-1110002116.224.329.418
Ben Williamson 2B·0-2200000114.255.321.333
Richie Palacios 2B2-2202100013.292.469.417
Jonny DeLuca RF·0-1110001011.278.316.500
Jake Fraley RF0-3300000313.211.286.368
Nick Fortes C·2-4402000119.320.346.460
Hunter Feduccia C0-000010105.211.348.211
Taylor Walls SS·1-4401201129.310.375.345

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Steven Matz SP·5.162214174-513.8074
Griffin Jax RP0.210011022-137.5022
Kevin Kelly RP2.011112126-157.0426
Bryan Baker RP1.000010020-123.6820

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Miguel Vargas 3B·1-5511110016.159.289.333
Chase Meidroth 2B·2-4412000113.222.310.333
Munetaka Murakami 1B·0-4400000315.167.346.417
Everson Pereira RF·2-3312111014.304.360.739
Edgar Quero C·1-3301101122.159.260.182
Tanner Murray LF·1-220100015.263.333.421
Colson Montgomery SS0-1100001010.172.274.359
Andrew Benintendi LF·0-3300001015.167.245.271
Derek Hill RF·1-220100005.286.400.286
Tristan Peters CF0-2200000114.214.267.238
Sam Antonacci LF·0-4400000013.143.250.143

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jordan Leasure RP·1.100010021-123.4821
Anthony Kay SP2.241111071-432.6071
Jordan Hicks RP1.010011019-135.4019
Grant Taylor RP1.111113035-221.8635
Sean Newcomb RP1.210003021-174.3821
Seranthony Dominguez RP0.123311132-197.5032
Lucas Sims RP0.200021023-113.6823

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningPalacios hit by pitch.
  2. 2nd InningWilliamson struck out looking.
  3. 9th InningPeters popped out to first.
  4. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  5. 9th InningAranda walked, Díaz to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningQuero hit a ground rule double, Meidroth scored, Pereira to third.1–2
  2. 9th InningWalls walked, Aranda scored, Feduccia to second, Palacios to third.5–3
  3. 9th InningFeduccia walked, Díaz scored, Palacios to second, Aranda to third.4–3
  4. 9th InningCaminero homered to left center (375 feet).3–3
  5. 4th InningWalls singled to left, DeLuca scored, Fortes to second.1–1
  6. 3rd InningVargas homered to left (380 feet).0–1
  7. 8th InningPereira homered to left center (401 feet).2–3
  8. 7th InningPalacios singled to left, Mullins scored, Díaz to second.2–2

Trending