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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:05 PM PT⚾ Jack Leiter vs Jacob LopezMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers

Texas Rangers 9 · Athletics 6

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Texas Rangers gets the model’s nod thanks to Texas Rangers’s margin advantage, with Athletics’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 60%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreDuran singled to center, Higashioka scored and Pederson scored, Smith to second.9th Inning9–6
  2. 🏃 DoubleKurtz doubled to left, Langeliers scored, Wynns scored and Gelof scored.8th Inning5–6
  3. 💣 Home RunCortes singled to right, Wilson scored, Cortes thrown out at second.5th Inning2–3
  4. ScoreBurger hit sacrifice fly to center, Duran scored.5th Inning2–0
  5. ScoreJung homered to right (364 feet), Langford scored.7th Inning5–3
  6. ScorePederson singled to center, Jung scored, Higashioka to second.9th Inning7–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers0010112049100
Athletics0000300306131

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·1-4401101021.316.395.513
Wyatt Langford LF·1-5511001127.185.221.323
Jake Burger 1B·1-4411100018.253.278.507
Josh Jung 3B·3-5523210013.263.323.386
Kyle Higashioka C·0-4410001218.280.379.400
Andrew McCutchen LF·0-1100001112.214.267.393
Joc Pederson 1B1-1121102016.220.313.317
Sam Haggerty LF·0-220000015.167.231.167
Evan Carter CF0-220000008.189.328.358
Josh Smith 2B·1-4401101216.175.266.193
Ezequiel Duran LF·2-4422201018.250.318.375

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jack Leiter SP·5.2733330105-674.87105
Robert Garcia RP0.100000010-73.3810
Tyler Alexander RP0.120000011-70.9311
Jakob Junis RP1.123310024-172.8924
Jacob Latz RP0.11000007-41.547
Cal Quantrill RP1.010000012-80.0012

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-4401000124.276.354.345
Zack Gelof CF0-001000000.000.000.000
Shea Langeliers C·2-2222003016.324.392.620
Nick Kurtz 1B·2-4402301027.206.383.302
Tyler Soderstrom LF·1-5511000113.211.309.394
Jacob Wilson SS·2-5512200014.263.273.342
Carlos Cortes RF·2-4402100013.290.389.452
Denzel Clarke CF0-110000004.170.220.191
Lawrence Butler RF·2-5502000022.200.262.317
Austin Wynns C·0-4410000114.125.176.125
Darell Hernaiz 3B·1-4401000022.200.238.200

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob Lopez SP·5.032245085-506.3885
Luis Medina RP1.122211032-193.3832
Scott Barlow RP0.211120124-115.1924
Jack Perkins RP1.000000011-67.2011
Justin Sterner RP1.044311020-144.6620

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningMcNeil flied out to left.
  2. 6th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  3. 6th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 6th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 7th InningBurger grounded out to shortstop, Langford to third.
  6. 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningDuran singled to center, Higashioka scored and Pederson scored, Smith to second.9–6
  2. 8th InningKurtz doubled to left, Langeliers scored, Wynns scored and Gelof scored.5–6
  3. 5th InningCortes singled to right, Wilson scored, Cortes thrown out at second.2–3
  4. 5th InningBurger hit sacrifice fly to center, Duran scored.2–0
  5. 7th InningJung homered to right (364 feet), Langford scored.5–3
  6. 9th InningPederson singled to center, Jung scored, Higashioka to second.7–6
  7. 5th InningWilson singled to right, Langeliers scored and Soderstrom scored.2–2
  8. 3rd InningNimmo singled to right, Duran scored.1–0
  9. 6th InningSmith doubled to left, Pederson scored.3–3
  10. 9th InningHigashioka grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Burger scored on throwing error by pitcher Sterner, Jung safe at third on error.6–6

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