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InTheRafters.com

WSH @ PIT

Joshua Silvia
13–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:35 PM ET⚾ Foster Griffin vs Braxton AshcraftMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 8 · Pittsburgh Pirates 7

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgePNC ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Washington Nationals because Pittsburgh Pirates owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Pittsburgh Pirates has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 74%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Pittsburgh Pirates

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLowe reached on infield single to shortstop, Mangum scored, Yorke to second, Cruz to third.9th Inning7–7
  2. ScoreLile scored, Young to second, Abrams to third on Ramírez wild pitch.7th Inning7–6
  3. 💣 Home RunGarcía Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Millas scored, Vivas and Nuñez scored on throwing error by shortstop Griffin, García Jr. to second.5th Inning3–0
  4. ScoreLile scored on Ramírez wild pitch, Young to second on wild pitch by Ramírez, Abrams to third on wild pitch by Ramírez.7th Inning7–6
  5. 🏃 DoubleWiemer doubled to right, Vivas scored.6th Inning5–4
  6. ScoreWood singled to right, Vivas scored.10th Inning8–7

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Washington Nationals00004120018100
Pittsburgh Pirates00004200107154

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·2-6612100224.256.376.526
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-331010019.233.270.367
Curtis Mead 1B0-3300000011.222.300.389
Brady House 3B·1-6601000225.243.293.386
Daylen Lile LF·2-5512000110.277.310.337
CJ Abrams SS·1-2201002016.371.481.710
Jacob Young CF·0-4400100218.245.286.434
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-4431000115.324.435.351
Drew Millas C·2-221200005.179.281.214
Joey Wiemer RF1-110110002.351.442.595
Keibert Ruiz C0-220000004.171.189.314
Nasim Nunez 2B·0-2210002123.200.302.218

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Foster Griffin SP·5.184417189-603.0589
Paxton Schultz RP0.12220005-55.405
PJ Poulin RP0.22000007-74.227
Gus Varland RP0.200000010-64.0510
Cionel Perez RP1.010002016-107.2716
Clayton Beeter RP1.011121032-193.8632
Orlando Ribalta RP1.010001014-120.0014

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jake Mangum LF·3-5523001023.275.341.300
Nick Gonzales 3B·2-4402100112.263.311.316
Ryan O'Hearn RF0-000000006.333.421.524
Oneil Cruz CF·2-5512100114.316.381.566
Marcell Ozuna DH·1-4411311122.127.213.200
Nick Yorke 3B·1-4401001119.255.368.319
Brandon Lowe 2B·2-5502100221.262.377.615
Joey Bart C·1-5511000219.148.226.259
Henry Davis C0-000000000.216.326.297
Konnor Griffin SS·2-5502100220.214.292.310
Billy Cook RF·1-221100006.333.333.333
Spencer Horwitz 1B0-111000001.217.339.304
Bryan Reynolds LF0-2200000110.279.390.456

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Braxton Ashcraft SP·5.255227090-642.3890
Evan Sisk RP0.121101014-93.8614
Yohan Ramirez RP1.011112017-122.1317
Isaac Mattson RP1.000010018-101.5418
Justin Lawrence RP1.010000012-88.6412
Dennis Santana RP1.011000011-80.9011

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningO'Hearn hit by pitch.
  2. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningMangum walked.
  4. 9th InningHouse safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Gonzales.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningLowe reached on infield single to shortstop, Mangum scored, Yorke to second, Cruz to third.7–7
  2. 7th InningLile scored, Young to second, Abrams to third on Ramírez wild pitch.7–6
  3. 5th InningGarcía Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Millas scored, Vivas and Nuñez scored on throwing error by shortstop Griffin, García Jr. to second.3–0
  4. 7th InningLile scored on Ramírez wild pitch, Young to second on wild pitch by Ramírez, Abrams to third on wild pitch by Ramírez.7–6
  5. 6th InningWiemer doubled to right, Vivas scored.5–4
  6. 10th InningWood singled to right, Vivas scored.8–7
  7. 7th InningYoung hit by pitch, Wood scored, Abrams to second, Lile to third.6–6
  8. 5th InningOzuna homered to left (423 feet), Mangum scored and Cruz scored.4–4
  9. 5th InningCruz doubled to right, Cook scored, Mangum to third.4–1
  10. 6th InningGonzales singled to right, Horwitz scored, Gonzales thrown out at second, Mangum to third.5–6
  11. 6th InningGriffin tripled to left, Bart scored.5–5
  12. 5th InningGarcía Jr. scored on throwing error by pitcher Ashcraft.4–0
  13. 5th InningGarcía Jr. scored on throwing error by pitcher Ashcraft.4–0

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