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InTheRafters.com

CIN @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Brandon Williamson vs Joe RyanMLB.TVTwins.TVReds.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds 2 · Minnesota Twins 1

Final
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Cincinnati Reds is the model’s call — Minnesota Twins on the margin numbers, Minnesota Twins on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Minnesota Twins at 73%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL

Cincinnati Reds

Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Cincinnati Reds
SS Spencer Steer LF · #7 TF TJ Friedl CF · #29 WB Will Benson RF · #30 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · #3 EC E. Cruz SS · #44 MM Matt McLain 2B · #9 SS Sal Stewart 1B · #27 AA Andrew Abbott P · #41 TS T. Stephenson C · #37
Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleSuárez doubled to center, De La Cruz scored and Stewart scored.4th Inning2–0
  2. ScoreMartin hit sacrifice fly to right, Lee scored, Kreidler to third.5th Inning2–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cincinnati Reds000200000240
Minnesota Twins000010000151

Cincinnati Reds

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
TJ Friedl CF·0-4400000113.145.272.145
Matt McLain 2B·0-4400000317.183.333.225
Elly De La Cruz SS·1-3311001020.269.352.551
Sal Stewart 1B·1-4411000119.300.405.657
Eugenio Suarez 3B·2-4402200117.257.333.414
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B0-000000000.064.137.064
Nathaniel Lowe 1B·0-3300000111.182.308.273
Spencer Steer LF·0-3300000014.190.235.381
Will Benson RF·0-220000003.167.265.267
Dane Myers CF0-110000002.240.296.240
Tyler Stephenson C·0-3300000117.163.294.302

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Williamson SP·5.131142093-504.3593
Connor Phillips RP0.200001010-82.2510
Graham Ashcraft RP1.010010016-81.6416
Tony Santillan RP1.010000012-70.0012
Emilio Pagan RP1.000001013-84.3513

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·1-4401001024.236.300.431
Austin Martin LF·1-2201101014.325.500.450
Luke Keaschall 2B·0-4400000113.211.265.276
Ryan Jeffers C·1-4401000020.286.397.449
James Outman CF0-000000000.000.100.000
Josh Bell 1B·2-440200007.254.354.463
Victor Caratini C·0-4400000111.241.352.310
Matt Wallner RF·0-3300000119.183.275.338
Brooks Lee SS·0-3310001015.228.279.404
Ryan Kreidler 3B·0-1100001010.167.286.667
Trevor Larnach LF0-000000106.267.436.433
Tristan Gray 3B0-110000015.286.344.536

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joe Ryan SP·6.032106094-573.2994
Justin Topa RP1.010000011-93.7211
Kody Funderburk RP1.00000008-62.088
Cole Sands RP1.000012020-103.6820

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningMcLain struck out looking.
  2. 6th InningJeffers popped out to shortstop.

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningSuárez doubled to center, De La Cruz scored and Stewart scored.2–0
  2. 5th InningMartin hit sacrifice fly to right, Lee scored, Kreidler to third.2–1

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