SD @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT60°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Matt Waldron vs Jose SorianoMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres 0 · Los Angeles Angels 8
Final
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Los Angeles Angels because San Diego Padres owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and San Diego Padres has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 77%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 8.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 77%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 8.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleAdell doubled to center, Schanuel scored and Trout scored.0–6
- ScoreSchanuel singled to left, Frazier scored, Trout to second.0–4
- 🏃 TripleFrazier tripled to right, O'Hoppe scored.0–2
- ScoreMoncada homered to center (388 feet).0–1
- ScoreLowe homered to right (364 feet), Peraza scored.0–8
- ScoreNeto singled to center, Frazier scored.0–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 13 | 0 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .138 | .233 | .200 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .239 | .329 | .296 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .247 | .301 | .442 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .210 | .363 | .339 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .260 | .325 | .411 |
| Bryce Johnson RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .083 | .154 | .167 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .246 | .281 | .492 |
| Nick Castellanos RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | .163 | .217 | .233 |
| Ty France 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .280 | .333 | .440 |
| Luis Campusano C· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .300 | .364 | .533 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Waldron SP· | 3.2 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 81-52 | 14.73 | 81 |
| David Morgan RP | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 38-22 | 1.64 | 38 |
| Wandy Peralta RP | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 25-17 | 1.80 | 25 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-9 | 0.84 | 15 |
| Kyle Hart RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 4.50 | 13 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .247 | .360 | .471 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | .236 | .415 | .569 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .227 | .298 | .333 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .302 | .341 | .430 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .172 | .324 | .362 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .105 | .150 | .105 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .286 | .365 | .554 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .167 | .246 | .352 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .211 | .343 | .281 |
| Adam Frazier 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .333 | .471 | .556 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Soriano SP· | 5.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 99-52 | 0.28 | 99 |
| Chase Silseth RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 2.35 | 1 |
| Shaun Anderson RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30-18 | 5.84 | 30 |
| Jordan Romano RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19-12 | 7.11 | 19 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningMachado struck out swinging.
- 5th InningTrout walked, Neto to second.
- 5th InningO'Hoppe walked.
- 2nd InningTrout struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningAdell doubled to center, Schanuel scored and Trout scored.0–6
- 4th InningSchanuel singled to left, Frazier scored, Trout to second.0–4
- 2nd InningFrazier tripled to right, O'Hoppe scored.0–2
- 2nd InningMoncada homered to center (388 feet).0–1
- 5th InningLowe homered to right (364 feet), Peraza scored.0–8
- 2nd InningNeto singled to center, Frazier scored.0–3