TEX @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Jacob deGrom vs Logan GilbertMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readTexas Rangers
Texas Rangers 5 · Seattle Mariners 0
Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Texas Rangers gets the model’s nod thanks to Seattle Mariners’s margin advantage, with Texas Rangers’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 60%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 5.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 60%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBurger singled to center, Seager scored, Langford to second.3–0
- ScoreLangford singled to left, Seager scored.2–0
- 🏃 DoubleJung doubled to left, Burger scored.5–0
- ScoreNimmo homered to right (372 feet).1–0
- ScoreMcCutchen hit sacrifice fly to right, Langford scored.4–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .313 | .396 | .538 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .221 | .337 | .485 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .214 | .247 | .343 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .275 | .298 | .513 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .193 | .324 | .351 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .233 | .333 | .326 |
| Andrew McCutchen LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .207 | .250 | .379 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .290 | .343 | .452 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | .164 | .261 | .180 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .229 | .288 | .354 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom SP· | 4.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 88-57 | 2.29 | 88 |
| Gavin Collyer RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29-17 | 0.00 | 29 |
| Tyler Alexander RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-4 | 0.87 | 7 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13-7 | 1.04 | 13 |
| Cole Winn RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12-7 | 2.79 | 12 |
| Jacob Latz RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-6 | 1.42 | 11 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .304 | .437 | .518 |
| Leo Rivas 3B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .163 | .321 | .209 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .163 | .253 | .275 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .203 | .308 | .278 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | .141 | .230 | .218 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .284 | .404 | .378 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .317 | .368 | .603 |
| Rob Refsnyder RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .143 | .000 |
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .179 | .373 | .205 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .209 | .286 | .442 |
| Mitch Garver C | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .125 | .263 | .125 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .225 | .329 | .366 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert SP· | 5.1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 99-67 | 4.03 | 99 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11-8 | 1.08 | 11 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 0.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20-13 | 3.52 | 20 |
| Casey Legumina RP | 2.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 47-28 | 2.53 | 47 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningBurger struck out looking.
- 3rd InningPitch 13 : Strike 3 Looking
- 3rd InningPitch 12 : Ball 3
- 4th InningSmith struck out swinging.
- 3rd InningPitch 11 : Strike 2 Foul
- 1st InningNaylor walked.
- 7th InningMcCutchen struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningBurger singled to center, Seager scored, Langford to second.3–0
- 3rd InningLangford singled to left, Seager scored.2–0
- 9th InningJung doubled to left, Burger scored.5–0
- 1st InningNimmo homered to right (372 feet).1–0
- 9th InningMcCutchen hit sacrifice fly to right, Langford scored.4–0