CHW @ ATH
Sutter Health Park · Sacramento, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:05 PM PT67°F · 4 mph wind · overcast⚾ Erick Fedde vs Luis SeverinoMLB.TV
Result readAthletics
Chicago White Sox 6 · Athletics 7
Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Athletics because Athletics owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Chicago White Sox has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 55%. Actual: Athletics by 1.
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 55%. Actual: Athletics by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago White Sox
- Davis Martin SP · #65
- Grant Taylor RP · #31
- Anthony Kay SP · #18
- Bryan Hudson RP · #60
Athletics
Roster watch list pending.
Injury Report
Athletics
Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
Chicago White Sox
Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreMurakami homered to center (415 feet).6–4
- ScoreMuncy hit sacrifice fly to left, Wilson scored.6–7
- ScoreButler grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Muncy scored.5–4
- ScoreSoderstrom singled to left, Wynns scored, Kurtz to third.5–3
- ScoreMcNeil hit sacrifice fly to right, Butler scored.5–2
- ScoreBenintendi homered to right (372 feet), Peters scored and McGuire scored.5–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| Athletics | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Chicago White Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi LF· | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .200 | .262 | .367 |
| Munetaka Murakami 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 29 | .209 | .386 | .522 |
| Luisangel Acuna CF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .207 | .254 | .224 |
| Miguel Vargas 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | .153 | .287 | .306 |
| Colson Montgomery SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .194 | .310 | .417 |
| Everson Pereira RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .273 | .333 | .636 |
| Sam Antonacci LF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .067 | .263 | .067 |
| Chase Meidroth 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .239 | .325 | .338 |
| Tristan Peters CF· | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | .209 | .277 | .233 |
| Derek Hill RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .261 | .370 | .261 |
| Edgar Quero C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .184 | .286 | .204 |
| Tanner Murray LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .263 | .333 | .421 |
| Reese McGuire C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .208 | .269 | .208 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde SP· | 4.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75-39 | 3.92 | 75 |
| Sean Newcomb RP | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19-12 | 4.61 | 19 |
| Jordan Leasure RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15-8 | 4.76 | 15 |
| Bryan Hudson RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28-18 | 2.08 | 28 |
| Seranthony Dominguez RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16-8 | 6.43 | 16 |
| Jordan Hicks RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17-9 | 4.91 | 17 |
| Lucas Sims RP | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-4 | 3.38 | 7 |
Athletics
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | .266 | .342 | .344 |
| Zack Gelof CF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .200 | .200 |
| Shea Langeliers C· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .325 | .393 | .600 |
| Nick Kurtz 1B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .235 | .429 | .368 |
| Tyler Soderstrom LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .200 | .297 | .363 |
| Jacob Wilson SS· | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .256 | .264 | .360 |
| Carlos Cortes RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .257 | .366 | .400 |
| Andy Ibanez 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .133 | .188 | .133 |
| Denzel Clarke CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .176 | .236 | .196 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .274 | .325 | .479 |
| Lawrence Butler RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | .197 | .274 | .318 |
| Austin Wynns C· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | .100 | .182 | .100 |
| Jack Perkins RP | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Darell Hernaiz 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .238 | .200 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino SP· | 5.1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 96-57 | 6.20 | 96 |
| Hogan Harris RP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21-13 | 2.84 | 21 |
| Joel Kuhnel RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-10 | 0.00 | 14 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12-4 | 8.31 | 12 |
| Jack Perkins RP | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 44-27 | 4.91 | 44 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningMurakami walked.
- 5th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningMurakami homered to center (415 feet).6–4
- 11th InningMuncy hit sacrifice fly to left, Wilson scored.6–7
- 6th InningButler grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Muncy scored.5–4
- 5th InningSoderstrom singled to left, Wynns scored, Kurtz to third.5–3
- 3rd InningMcNeil hit sacrifice fly to right, Butler scored.5–2
- 2nd InningBenintendi homered to right (372 feet), Peters scored and McGuire scored.5–0
- 7th InningKurtz homered to right (386 feet), Langeliers scored.6–6
- 2nd InningWilson homered to left (384 feet).5–1
- 2nd InningMcGuire singled to left, Pereira scored, Peters to second.2–0
- 2nd InningMontgomery homered to right (397 feet).1–0