SD @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT63°F · overcast⚾ German Marquez vs Yusei KikuchiMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres
San Diego Padres 4 · Los Angeles Angels 1
Final
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
San Diego Padres gets the model’s nod thanks to San Diego Padres’s margin advantage, with San Diego Padres’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 68%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 3.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 68%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSchanuel singled to center, O'Hoppe scored, Frazier to third.2–1
- ScoreTatis Jr. singled to right, Cronenworth scored, Laureano to third.2–0
- ScoreLaureano singled to center, Fermin scored, Cronenworth to third.1–0
- ScoreLaureano hit sacrifice fly to center, Johnson scored, Fermin to third.3–1
- ScoreTatis Jr. singled to center, Fermin scored, Cronenworth to second.4–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .288 | .346 | .534 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .253 | .344 | .307 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .232 | .284 | .415 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .197 | .345 | .318 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .260 | .321 | .403 |
| Miguel Andujar 3B· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .341 | .383 | .477 |
| Bryce Johnson RF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .154 | .214 | .231 |
| Ty France 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .259 | .310 | .407 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .238 | .273 | .476 |
| Freddy Fermin C· | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | .182 | .317 | .242 |
| Jake Cronenworth 2B· | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | .152 | .273 | .212 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| German Marquez SP· | 5.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 88-56 | 3.86 | 88 |
| Adrian Morejon RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22-13 | 6.75 | 22 |
| Jason Adam RP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30-21 | 2.45 | 30 |
| Mason Miller RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20-14 | 0.00 | 20 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .250 | .365 | .477 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .237 | .408 | .566 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .231 | .307 | .333 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .105 | .150 | .105 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .292 | .337 | .416 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .177 | .320 | .355 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .267 | .343 | .517 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .161 | .238 | .339 |
| Vaughn Grissom 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .267 | .450 | .267 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .213 | .338 | .279 |
| Adam Frazier 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .323 | .447 | .516 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 86-56 | 5.63 | 86 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn RP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23-9 | 6.10 | 23 |
| Nick Sandlin RP | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 35-22 | 16.20 | 35 |
| Shaun Anderson RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-1 | 5.68 | 2 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningMoncada singled to right.
- 8th InningAdell grounded out to third.
- 6th InningTrout doubled to right.
- 1st InningSchanuel walked.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningSchanuel singled to center, O'Hoppe scored, Frazier to third.2–1
- 8th InningTatis Jr. singled to right, Cronenworth scored, Laureano to third.2–0
- 8th InningLaureano singled to center, Fermin scored, Cronenworth to third.1–0
- 9th InningLaureano hit sacrifice fly to center, Johnson scored, Fermin to third.3–1
- 9th InningTatis Jr. singled to center, Fermin scored, Cronenworth to second.4–1