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In The Rafters

SF @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Afternoon GameOutdoor4:05 PM ET71°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Adrian Houser vs Cade CavalliMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 7 · Washington Nationals 6

Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

San Francisco Giants is the model’s call — Washington Nationals on the margin numbers, Washington Nationals on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 76%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Francisco Giants

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

San Francisco Giants
HR Heliot Ramos LF · #17 DG Drew Gilbert CF · #0 JL Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51 MC Matt Chapman 3B · #26 WA Willy Adames SS · #2 LA Luis Arraez 2B · #1 RD Rafael Devers 1B · #16 LW Logan Webb P · #62 PB Patrick Bailey C · #14
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreWood hit by pitch, Nuñez scored, Millas to second, Vivas to third.2nd Inning1–2
  2. 🏃 DoubleSchmitt doubled to left, Chapman scored on fielding error by left fielder Lile and Arraez scored.3rd Inning3–5
  3. ScoreTena singled to left, Wood scored, García Jr. to second.2nd Inning1–5
  4. 💣 Home RunHouse singled to center, Wood scored, Mead thrown out at third.9th Inning6–6
  5. ScoreRamos homered to left (378 feet), Lee scored.6th Inning5–5
  6. ScoreGilbert singled to right, Ramos scored.2nd Inning1–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789101112RHE
San Francisco Giants0120021000017161
Washington Nationals1400000010006102

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Willy Adames SS·1-6611000230.262.311.488
Luis Arraez 2B·2-6622000026.321.353.385
Matt Chapman 3B·2-6612100023.294.333.400
Rafael Devers 1B·1-6601100115.212.256.306
Casey Schmitt 1B·2-6602100230.317.369.517
Jung Hoo Lee RF·2-6612000124.253.310.373
Heliot Ramos LF·3-5523211118.257.304.378
Drew Gilbert CF·2-5502100121.250.357.500
Patrick Bailey C·1-4401000324.137.185.137
Daniel Susac C0-110000002.500.522.682

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Adrian Houser SP·5.275421188-575.4088
Ryan Borucki RP0.10000106-36.756
Erik Miller RP1.000002015-85.1415
Matt Gage RP1.00000006-61.936
Ryan Walker RP2.031122026-204.0026
Caleb Kilian RP2.000012017-120.9017

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-3331212116.256.385.570
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·1-330120009.231.275.354
Curtis Mead 1B0-330000007.200.273.350
Jose Tena 2B·1-2201101015.364.417.394
Brady House 3B1-220110019.234.280.364
Joey Wiemer RF0-110000016.341.426.561
CJ Abrams SS·0-5500001118.338.448.634
Jacob Young CF·2-6602000017.254.290.424
Daylen Lile LF·2-6602000216.283.320.380
Nasim Nunez 2B·0-4410000116.177.282.194
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-4411001017.310.423.357
Drew Millas C·1-5511000112.182.270.242

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cade Cavalli SP·4.073105092-634.1292
Mitchell Parker RP3.053302153-365.4053
Gus Varland RP1.020002023-163.5223
Richard Lovelady RP2.000012023-173.4823
Cionel Perez RP2.021000022-165.9122

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningChapman singled to left.
  2. 2nd InningSchmitt struck out swinging.
  3. 1st InningArraez singled to left.
  4. 8th InningLee popped out to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningWood hit by pitch, Nuñez scored, Millas to second, Vivas to third.1–2
  2. 3rd InningSchmitt doubled to left, Chapman scored on fielding error by left fielder Lile and Arraez scored.3–5
  3. 2nd InningTena singled to left, Wood scored, García Jr. to second.1–5
  4. 9th InningHouse singled to center, Wood scored, Mead thrown out at third.6–6
  5. 6th InningRamos homered to left (378 feet), Lee scored.5–5
  6. 2nd InningGilbert singled to right, Ramos scored.1–1
  7. 12th InningChapman singled to left, Arraez scored.7–6
  8. 7th InningDevers singled to left, Adames scored.6–5
  9. 2nd InningGarcía Jr. singled to right, Millas scored and Vivas scored, Wood to third.1–4
  10. 1st InningWood homered to left center (406 feet).0–1

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