TEX @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:15 PM PT⚾ Nathan Eovaldi vs George KirbyMLB.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners
Texas Rangers 3 · Seattle Mariners 7
Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Seattle Mariners: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Texas Rangers’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 52%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 4.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 52%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRivas hit sacrifice fly to center, Young scored.1–7
- ScoreRaley homered to right (381 feet).1–4
- 🏃 DoubleDuran doubled to left, Smith scored, Jung to third.3–7
- ScoreCarter hit sacrifice fly to second, Langford scored.2–7
- ScoreYoung singled to center, Raley scored and Canzone scored.1–6
- ScoreJung homered to center (412 feet).1–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
| Seattle Mariners | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .302 | .381 | .512 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .208 | .330 | .458 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .240 | .269 | .373 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | .262 | .292 | .488 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .244 | .352 | .333 |
| Sam Haggerty LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .231 | .167 |
| Josh Smith 2B | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .177 | .282 | .194 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .303 | .361 | .500 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | .186 | .329 | .339 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .289 | .347 | .422 |
| Kyle Higashioka C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | .241 | .353 | .345 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi SP· | 5.0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 95-66 | 5.06 | 95 |
| Cal Quantrill RP | 3.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 65-40 | 6.75 | 65 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .205 | .375 | .273 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | .155 | .250 | .262 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .205 | .305 | .277 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .146 | .231 | .220 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .282 | .398 | .372 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .318 | .375 | .636 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .255 | .321 | .489 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .243 | .349 | .378 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .152 | .298 | .196 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kirby SP· | 5.2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 96-63 | 2.97 | 96 |
| Matt Brash RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-3 | 0.00 | 6 |
| Gabe Speier RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24-14 | 2.35 | 24 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21-9 | 0.96 | 21 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-4 | 3.38 | 4 |
| Cole Wilcox RP | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26-16 | 6.75 | 26 |
| Andres Munoz RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 9.00 | 4 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningRivas hit sacrifice fly to center, Young scored.1–7
- 8th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningSeager walked.
- 2nd InningRaley grounded out to second.
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningRivas hit sacrifice fly to center, Young scored.1–7
- 6th InningRaley homered to right (381 feet).1–4
- 9th InningDuran doubled to left, Smith scored, Jung to third.3–7
- 9th InningCarter hit sacrifice fly to second, Langford scored.2–7
- 8th InningYoung singled to center, Raley scored and Canzone scored.1–6
- 6th InningJung homered to center (412 feet).1–3
- 4th InningCanzone singled to center, Arozarena scored and Raley scored.0–3
- 1st InningRodríguez singled to right, Crawford scored.0–1