SD @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:07 PM PT67°F · 4 mph wind · clear⚾ Michael King vs Reid DetmersESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres
San Diego Padres 2 · Los Angeles Angels 1
Final
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans San Diego Padres because San Diego Padres owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and San Diego Padres has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 70%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 1.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 70%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreNeto grounded out to shortstop, Peraza scored.2–1
- ScoreJohnson singled to left, Bogaerts scored, Sheets to third.2–0
- ScoreBogaerts singled to center, Tatis Jr. scored.1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .273 | .329 | .506 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .253 | .340 | .304 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .221 | .272 | .395 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .186 | .330 | .300 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | .266 | .341 | .405 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .242 | .286 | .470 |
| Ty France 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .259 | .310 | .407 |
| Miguel Andujar 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .313 | .353 | .438 |
| Luis Campusano C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .281 | .343 | .500 |
| Jake Cronenworth 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .149 | .269 | .209 |
| Bryce Johnson RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .250 | .294 | .375 |
| Freddy Fermin C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .317 | .242 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King SP· | 5.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 105-63 | 2.28 | 105 |
| Ron Marinaccio RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26-12 | 3.65 | 26 |
| Kyle Hart RP | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-7 | 5.11 | 10 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24-15 | 0.73 | 24 |
| Mason Miller RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-8 | 0.00 | 13 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | .244 | .370 | .467 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | .234 | .422 | .558 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .222 | .304 | .321 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .232 | .337 | .493 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .169 | .316 | .338 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .280 | .323 | .398 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .155 | .231 | .328 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .274 | .348 | .532 |
| Travis d'Arnaud C· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .133 | .278 | .200 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .105 | .150 | .105 |
| Vaughn Grissom 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .250 | .429 | .250 |
| Adam Frazier 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .303 | .425 | .485 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .210 | .333 | .274 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walbert Urena SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 92-56 | 2.35 | 92 |
| Sam Bachman RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27-18 | 2.92 | 27 |
| Brent Suter RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12-7 | 2.25 | 12 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th InningMoncada flied out to center.
- 1st InningTrout walked.
- 7th InningLaureano struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningNeto grounded out to shortstop, Peraza scored.2–1
- 7th InningJohnson singled to left, Bogaerts scored, Sheets to third.2–0
- 4th InningBogaerts singled to center, Tatis Jr. scored.1–0