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InTheRafters.com

NYY @ BOS

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET⚾ Luis Gil vs Connelly EarlyMLB.TVNESN+
Result readNew York Yankees

New York Yankees 4 · Boston Red Sox 0

Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Yankees has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 91%. Actual: New York Yankees by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28
Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleStanton doubled to center, Judge scored and Rosario scored.6th Inning3–0
  2. 🏃 DoubleGrichuk doubled to center, Bellinger scored.8th Inning4–0
  3. ScoreStanton homered to left (369 feet).2nd Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Yankees0100020104100
Boston Red Sox000000000040

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Amed Rosario 3B·0-3310001013.250.302.500
Ryan McMahon 3B0-110000013.128.281.191
Aaron Judge RF·1-3311002023.235.343.588
Ben Rice 1B·0-4400000424.319.461.754
Giancarlo Stanton DH·2-4412310115.253.306.418
Cody Bellinger LF·1-3311001012.278.385.456
Randal Grichuk LF·2-4402100010.167.192.292
Trent Grisham CF0-000000000.167.321.348
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·2-4402000114.182.276.247
Jose Caballero SS·1-4401000215.234.280.325
Austin Wells C·1-4401000014.185.338.259

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Gil SP·6.120032083-474.1183
Brent Headrick RP0.210001013-111.5013
Tim Hill RP1.000000010-70.9010
David Bednar RP1.010001019-123.7219

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Roman Anthony LF·0-3300001118.225.361.325
Willson Contreras 1B·1-440100007.273.398.455
Masataka Yoshida LF·0-4400000017.289.438.368
Wilyer Abreu RF·0-4400000013.282.337.459
Trevor Story SS·0-3300001013.189.225.305
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·1-3301001017.288.373.379
Marcelo Mayer 2B·1-110100008.196.281.321
Andruw Monasterio SS0-110000005.214.290.286
Jarren Duran LF0-110000016.162.240.250
Caleb Durbin 3B·0-3300000211.155.250.225
Carlos Narvaez C·1-3301000010.240.269.280

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Connelly Early SP·5.153334192-532.8892
Jack Anderson RP2.041102031-233.3831
Tyler Samaniego RP1.210013020-120.0020

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningDuran struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningPitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 9th InningPitch 5 : Ball 3
  4. 9th InningPitch 4 : Strike 2 Looking
  5. 9th InningRafaela to third on fielder's indifference.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningStanton doubled to center, Judge scored and Rosario scored.3–0
  2. 8th InningGrichuk doubled to center, Bellinger scored.4–0
  3. 2nd InningStanton homered to left (369 feet).1–0

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