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InTheRafters.com

SD @ COL

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM MT⚾ Randy Vasquez vs Jimmy HergetMLB.TVPadres.TVRockies.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres

San Diego Padres 1 · Colorado Rockies 0

Final
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans San Diego Padres because San Diego Padres owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and San Diego Padres has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 84%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL

San Diego Padres

Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

San Diego Padres
RL Ramon Laureano LF · #5 JM J. Merrill CF · #3 FT F. Tatis Jr. RF · #23 MM Manny Machado 3B · #13 XB X. Bogaerts SS · #2 JC J. Cronenworth 2B · #9 GS Gavin Sheets 1B · #30 YD Yu Darvish P · #11 FF Freddy Fermin C · #54
Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMachado walked, Cronenworth scored, Merrill to second, Tatis Jr. to third.6th Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Diego Padres000001000160
Colorado Rockies000000000031

San Diego Padres

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ramon Laureano LF·0-4400000317.259.315.481
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF·2-4402000219.265.347.313
Jackson Merrill CF·0-3300000316.213.271.382
Manny Machado 3B·0-3300101118.178.326.288
Xander Bogaerts SS·1-4401000218.265.337.398
Gavin Sheets 1B·0-3300000112.232.274.449
Nick Castellanos RF0-110000014.159.213.227
Ty France 1B0-000000000.259.310.407
Miguel Andujar 3B·1-4401000124.308.345.423
Freddy Fermin C·1-3301000012.194.333.278
Jake Cronenworth 2B·1-4411000117.155.268.225

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Randy Vasquez SP·7.030005084-561.8884
Jason Adam RP1.000001012-101.9312
Adrian Morejon RP1.00000208-76.178

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·1-4401000217.259.348.345
Mickey Moniak LF·1-4401000113.271.302.627
Hunter Goodman C·1-440100018.241.315.470
TJ Rumfield 1B·0-3300000110.244.300.390
Troy Johnston RF·0-330000007.304.360.478
Ezequiel Tovar SS·0-220000005.218.261.345
Kyle Karros 3B·0-3300000015.206.346.286
Jordan Beck LF·0-3300000113.167.212.271
Brenton Doyle CF·0-2200000211.209.274.284
Willi Castro 2B0-110000005.231.286.338

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jimmy Herget RP·1.000003014-101.5014
Chase Dollander SP6.0311190102-672.88102
Juan Mejia RP1.010001020-126.3020
Brennan Bernardino RP1.020002021-130.8721

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningBogaerts flied out to right.
  2. 8th InningTatis Jr. singled to right.
  3. 5th InningBeck grounded out to pitcher.
  4. 4th InningMachado struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningMachado walked, Cronenworth scored, Merrill to second, Tatis Jr. to third.1–0

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