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In The Rafters

CHW @ ARI

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Anthony Kay vs Eduardo RodriguezMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readArizona Diamondbacks

Chicago White Sox 7 · Arizona Diamondbacks 11

Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Arizona Diamondbacks is the model’s call — Chicago White Sox on the margin numbers, Chicago White Sox on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 79%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

Arizona Diamondbacks

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26
Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 TriplePerdomo tripled to left, Carroll scored.7th Inning7–11
  2. ScoreArenado singled to center, Perdomo scored, Fernandez to third.4th Inning4–8
  3. ScoreQuero walked, Meidroth scored, Pereira to second, Vargas to third.1st Inning1–0
  4. ScoreCarroll scored on a balk, Perdomo to second on a balk.4th Inning4–7
  5. ScoreCarroll singled to right, Marte scored.2nd Inning2–4
  6. ScoreVargas homered to left (420 feet), Fernandez scored and Arenado scored.2nd Inning2–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox2011012007110
Arizona Diamondbacks04220210—11160

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·1-5511000026.250.337.345
Miguel Vargas 3B·2-4432111116.193.333.434
Munetaka Murakami 1B·3-5513210126.256.404.622
Everson Pereira RF·2-4402001018.295.373.591
Edgar Quero C·0-3300102121.161.273.179
Colson Montgomery SS·1-5511210216.212.316.518
Tanner Murray LF·0-220000015.208.269.333
Sam Antonacci LF1-220100006.217.333.435
Derek Hill RF·0-110000108.250.364.357
Tristan Peters CF1-221100017.260.315.320
Luisangel Acuna CF·0-220000005.190.235.206
Andrew Benintendi LF0-220010014.203.257.348

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Anthony Kay SP·3.288831292-515.5792
Jordan Hicks RP0.110010012-54.7612
Bryan Hudson RP1.010012032-211.6932
Lucas Sims RP1.022202124-184.5024
Sean Newcomb RP2.041110044-264.6044

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ketel Marte 2B·2-5512000123.228.290.391
Corbin Carroll RF·3-4423101018.312.413.610
Geraldo Perdomo SS·3-4413101126.260.366.416
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF·0-5500000021.063.118.063
Jose Fernandez 1B·2-3322002027.313.333.433
Nolan Arenado 3B·4-4434311025.263.286.438
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·2-5522520115.364.382.697
James McCann C·0-5500000232.216.237.297
Jorge Barrosa LF·0-3300001017.226.281.453

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eduardo Rodriguez SP·5.064434296-612.8996
Taylor Clarke RP1.011100013-93.5513
Ryan Thompson RP1.022211119-94.6619
Juan Morillo RP1.010002014-122.3814
Paul Sewald RP1.010011016-101.9316

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningGurriel Jr. flied out to right.
  2. 5th InningMcCann struck out swinging.
  3. 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  4. 5th InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
  5. 6th InningPitch 6 : Ball 2
  6. 5th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningPerdomo tripled to left, Carroll scored.7–11
  2. 4th InningArenado singled to center, Perdomo scored, Fernandez to third.4–8
  3. 1st InningQuero walked, Meidroth scored, Pereira to second, Vargas to third.1–0
  4. 4th InningCarroll scored on a balk, Perdomo to second on a balk.4–7
  5. 2nd InningCarroll singled to right, Marte scored.2–4
  6. 2nd InningVargas homered to left (420 feet), Fernandez scored and Arenado scored.2–3
  7. 6th InningBenintendi grounded out to second, Peters scored.5–8
  8. 4th InningCarroll scored on a balk, Perdomo to second on a balk.4–7
  9. 3rd InningVargas homered to left center (405 feet), Arenado scored.3–6
  10. 3rd InningVargas homered to left center (428 feet).3–4
  11. 1st InningMontgomery grounded into fielder's choice to second, Vargas scored, Quero out at second, Pereira to third.2–0
  12. 7th InningMurakami homered to center (451 feet), Vargas scored.7–10
  13. 6th InningArenado homered to left center (411 feet), Fernandez scored.5–10
  14. 4th InningMontgomery homered to right center (423 feet).4–6

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