PHI @ CHC
Wrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Kyle Backhus vs Matthew BoydMLB.TV
Result readChicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies 2 · Chicago Cubs 7
Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgeWrigley FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Chicago Cubs is the model’s call — Chicago Cubs on the margin numbers, Chicago Cubs on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 73%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 5.
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 73%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs
Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleSosa doubled to left, Reyes scored, Bohm to third.1–1
- ScoreBusch homered to left center (375 feet).2–4
- ScoreHapp singled to left, Bregman scored.2–3
- ScoreCrawford grounded out to second, Bohm scored, Sosa to third.2–1
- ScoreSuzuki homered to center (388 feet), Happ scored.2–6
- 🏃 DoubleCrow-Armstrong doubled to center, Amaya scored.2–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Chicago Cubs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 7 | 13 | 1 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .207 | .349 | .529 |
| Trea Turner SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .235 | .292 | .347 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .261 | .350 | .511 |
| Felix Reyes LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .273 | .273 | .545 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .212 | .299 | .329 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .146 | .217 | .195 |
| Edmundo Sosa 2B· | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .265 | .306 | .441 |
| Bryson Stott 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .203 | .261 | .234 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .281 | .370 | .391 |
| Rafael Marchan C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .086 | .111 | .171 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Backhus RP· | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-12 | 5.87 | 15 |
| Taijuan Walker SP | 4.0 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 64-41 | 9.13 | 64 |
| Alan Rangel RP | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 44-27 | 3.00 | 44 |
Chicago Cubs
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .320 | .393 | .515 |
| Alex Bregman 3B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .263 | .339 | .374 |
| Ian Happ LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .244 | .363 | .500 |
| Seiya Suzuki RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .279 | .404 | .442 |
| Michael Busch 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .188 | .278 | .247 |
| Dansby Swanson SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .179 | .333 | .385 |
| Moises Ballesteros C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .367 | .418 | .592 |
| Miguel Amaya C· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .220 | .333 | .317 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CF· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .247 | .300 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd SP· | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 84-56 | 5.79 | 84 |
| Ben Brown RP | 2.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 37-28 | 2.37 | 37 |
| Corbin Martin RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-9 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Hoby Milner RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-15 | 1.54 | 20 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 1st InningHarper grounded out to second.
- 9th InningBohm singled to right.
- 8th InningHarper grounded out to shortstop.
Scoring Plays
- 2nd InningSosa doubled to left, Reyes scored, Bohm to third.1–1
- 3rd InningBusch homered to left center (375 feet).2–4
- 3rd InningHapp singled to left, Bregman scored.2–3
- 2nd InningCrawford grounded out to second, Bohm scored, Sosa to third.2–1
- 5th InningSuzuki homered to center (388 feet), Happ scored.2–6
- 2nd InningCrow-Armstrong doubled to center, Amaya scored.2–2
- 1st InningHapp grounded into fielder's choice to second, Hoerner scored, Bregman out at second.0–1
- 8th InningCrow-Armstrong singled to center, Ballesteros scored.2–7