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InTheRafters.com

PIT @ TEX

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:05 PM CT⚾ Braxton Ashcraft vs Jack LeiterMLB.TV
Result readPittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates 8 · Texas Rangers 4

Final
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pittsburgh Pirates gets the model’s nod thanks to Pittsburgh Pirates’s margin advantage, with Pittsburgh Pirates’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 78%. Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

Texas Rangers

Injury Report

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32
Texas Rangers
ED Ezequiel Duran LF · #20 EC Evan Carter CF · #32 BN Brandon Nimmo RF · #24 JJ Josh Jung 3B · #6 CS Corey Seager SS · #5 JS Josh Smith 2B · #8 JB Jake Burger 1B · #21 MG MacKenzie Gore P · #1 DJ Danny Jansen C · #9

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMangum grounded into fielder's choice to third, Gonzales scored, Cook to second.9th Inning5–4
  2. ScoreBurger singled to center, McCutchen scored and Nimmo scored.8th Inning4–4
  3. ScoreLowe singled to left, Horwitz scored, Davis to second.5th Inning2–2
  4. ScoreJung homered to right (344 feet), Pederson scored.2nd Inning1–2
  5. ScoreCruz homered to right (432 feet), Cook scored and Mangum scored.9th Inning8–4
  6. 💣 Home RunReynolds singled to right, Davis scored on error and Lowe scored on throwing error by right fielder Nimmo, Reynolds to second.5th Inning4–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Pittsburgh Pirates100030004890
Texas Rangers020000020472

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz CF·1-5511310315.286.352.551
Brandon Lowe 2B·1-5511100327.263.366.575
Bryan Reynolds LF·2-5512100019.264.387.414
Marcell Ozuna DH·1-330110007.184.253.289
Ryan O'Hearn RF·1-3301001014.325.413.519
Nick Gonzales 3B·1-4411000015.270.308.311
Spencer Horwitz 1B·2-4412000017.271.389.407
Billy Cook RF0-001000000.375.375.375
Konnor Griffin SS·0-4400000216.194.261.258
Henry Davis C·0-2210001114.167.286.229
Jake Mangum LF0-111010004.294.357.333
Joey Bart C0-000000000.156.222.281

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Braxton Ashcraft SP·7.042225194-602.4394
Gregory Soto RP1.032203027-152.1327
Dennis Santana RP1.00000209-70.759

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·1-4411000110.293.364.495
Corey Seager SS·0-4400000214.193.310.410
Jake Burger 1B·1-4401200117.250.277.448
Joc Pederson 1B·0-1110002014.231.369.308
Sam Haggerty LF0-110000015.143.200.143
Josh Jung 3B·2-4412210114.303.357.526
Evan Carter CF·1-4401000215.200.329.343
Kyle Higashioka C·1-4401000118.242.342.364
Josh Smith 2B·0-220000006.188.288.217
Andrew McCutchen LF1-111100005.233.273.400
Ezequiel Duran LF·0-3300000112.280.333.420

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jack Leiter SP·5.054325084-574.9784
Tyler Alexander RP2.010002029-200.6829
Gavin Collyer RP1.00000007-30.007
Cole Winn RP0.123301019-144.9119
Jalen Beeks RP0.21110119-81.809

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningGonzales singled to left.
  2. 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 3rd InningLowe struck out swinging.
  5. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  6. 3rd InningPitch 11 : Strike 3 Swinging
  7. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
  8. 6th InningHorwitz grounded out to first, Gonzales to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningMangum grounded into fielder's choice to third, Gonzales scored, Cook to second.5–4
  2. 8th InningBurger singled to center, McCutchen scored and Nimmo scored.4–4
  3. 5th InningLowe singled to left, Horwitz scored, Davis to second.2–2
  4. 2nd InningJung homered to right (344 feet), Pederson scored.1–2
  5. 9th InningCruz homered to right (432 feet), Cook scored and Mangum scored.8–4
  6. 5th InningReynolds singled to right, Davis scored on error and Lowe scored on throwing error by right fielder Nimmo, Reynolds to second.4–2
  7. 1st InningOzuna singled to left, Reynolds scored.1–0

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